Silver's industrial demand - anyone else worried about the price impact from slower growth?
- •I'm sitting on a total portfolio that's hovering right around $700k now, so every percentage point matters a lot more than it used to.
- •My biggest concern right now for silver isn't really the Fed or inflation, oddly enough.
- •It’s the industrial demand side.
Been watching the silver market pretty closely lately, given it makes up a decent chunk of my precious metals holdings (maybe 20% of my total, the rest in gold). I've got a personal target of about $35/oz before I consider trimming any, but honestly, it’s been a slow climb since that initial rush I saw when I first rolled over my military pension into this Gold IRA back in '18. I'm sitting on a total portfolio that's hovering right around $700k now, so every percentage point matters a lot more than it used to.
My biggest concern right now for silver isn't really the Fed or inflation, oddly enough. It’s the industrial demand side. With all the chatter about a potential global slowdown, especially out of Asia – which, living here in Honolulu, you feel a bit more acutely than someone in, say, Kansas – I can't help but wonder what that's going to do to solar panel production, electronics, and even EVs. These sectors are massive consumers of silver, and if they hit the brakes, even slightly, it feels like that could put a real damper on price appreciation. I invested in silver not just as a hedge, but also believing in its dual role as a precious metal and an industrial commodity fueling the future.
I know the supply side has its own issues, and mining output isn't exactly surging. But at what point does reduced industrial demand outweigh the supply constraints? Are we relying too much on the "green energy" narrative to keep silver propped up, or is that demand truly inelastic enough to weather an economic downturn? Back in the '08 crisis, silver took a beating, even though the long-term outlook for electronics was still strong. Is this time different?
I'm curious to hear what other investors are thinking. Is anyone else heavily weighted in silver right now, and how are you mitigating this specific industrial demand risk? Or am I overthinking it, and the store-of-value aspect will simply take over if industrial demand falters? Always appreciate the insights from this community.