Fed's latest rate hike - why aren't we seeing more action in gold? Thoughts?
- •Okay, so another 25 basis points this week from the Fed, right?
- •And honestly, I'm a bit stumped.
- •Been in gold for going on 15 years now, pretty much my whole investing life since I got out of college and into oil.
Okay, so another 25 basis points this week from the Fed, right? And honestly, I'm a bit stumped. Been in gold for going on 15 years now, pretty much my whole investing life since I got out of college and into oil. You'd think with inflation still sticky and these rate hikes, even smaller ones, we'd see a more aggressive move in the yellow metal. My IRA, which is a good chunk of change – probably around 600k in physical gold and some mining stocks – hasn't reacted the way I usually expect. I'm sitting here in Dallas, watching the news, and it just feels... muted.
Historically, tighter monetary policy and rising rates can be a headwind for gold since it doesn't yield, but then again, the reasons for those rate hikes often involve inflation, which is usually gold's best friend. It’s this weird balancing act lately. Are we just in a holding pattern until the Fed actually pivots? Or is the market just pricing in a softer landing than seems realistic given everything happening globally? I’ve seen this before, where things just tread water for a bit, but this feels different. The sentiment feels off.
I was just messing around with that Gold IRA Calculator this morning, trying to project some different scenarios for my portfolio size, and even with what seem like reasonable gold price increases, the Fed's stance is just this huge wildcard. It makes planning tough. Are any of you feeling this same disconnect? What's your read on why gold isn't really taking off right now given the ongoing inflation pressures and continuous rate increases that should be signaling economic uncertainty?
Is anyone else adjusting their strategy based on the Fed's latest moves, or are you just holding steady until things become clearer? I'm always curious to hear what other long-term investors are thinking, especially with portfolios in a similar range. Sometimes it feels like we're all just trying to read the tea leaves.