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    Vale eyes 20% growth in reserves, resources by 2027

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    Key Takeaways
    • It's not just about what they're doing now, but the confidence they have in future supply for a commodity that's only going to get more crucial.
    • My grandkids will likely live in a world where copper is even more valuable than it is today!
    • It makes me wonder how much of this growth is driven by new discoveries versus optimizing existing operations.
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    Hey everyone, just read this interesting piece about Vale's plans to boost reserves & resources by 20% by 2027: https://www.mining.com/vale-eyes-20-growth-in-reserves-resources-by-2027/

    My first thought, given how much focus is on electrification and the demand for copper, is that this is a pretty solid long-term play. I've been eyeing mining stocks for a while now, slowly building up some positions in my retirement fund, and the steady increase in reserves really speaks to future production capacity. The article mentions their total copper reserves and resources specifically jumped 6% last year alone to 53 million tonnes, which is a pretty significant bump. It's not just about what they're doing now, but the confidence they have in future supply for a commodity that's only going to get more crucial. My grandkids will likely live in a world where copper is even more valuable than it is today!

    It makes me wonder how much of this growth is driven by new discoveries versus optimizing existing operations. For me, that's the key difference when evaluating these kinds of announcements. New finds are always exciting, but sometimes the most efficient growth comes from squeezing more out of what you already have. I'm especially keen to hear if anyone here has deeper insights into Vale's exploration efforts or has been following their operational improvements. What are your thoughts on this? Does this make you more or less bullish on their stock or the broader mining sector?

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    43 comments

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    Best Answer▲ 17 upvotes
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    charles_lewis💎Premium (500k-1m)
    Here's a thought: Vale's eyeing 20% growth by '27, which is great for them, but for us precious metals folks, does it really matter? The actual physical supply of investment-grade gold or silver that we're after, the stuff you can actually hold, is a different beast entirely from what a mining giant like Vale is digging out for industrial uses. I just don't see this translating directly to a bump in my gold IRA's value.

    Comments (43)

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    joyce_cooper📊Growing (50-100k)✓ Verifiedabout 2 months ago

    This is interesting, but honestly, it’s a bit of a sideshow for someone focused on physical gold as a hedge. Mining company growth projections are all well and good for stock investors, but for keeping a portion of your retirement solid in physical, I care more about global central bank buying and sustained inflation data. The real value is in the metal itself, not the quarterly earnings of a company extracting it.

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    carol_carter💰Established (100-250k)Real Investorabout 2 months ago

    Interesting. This reminds me of when I first got into gold back in '08 after the crash. Everyone was talking about peak gold, and how the supply was drying up. I remember seeing articles about how every major mine already had its best years behind it. Made me feel even more secure about my physical holdings and then later, my Gold IRA. Now you see headlines like this, and it makes you wonder how much of the "supply crunch" narrative is just that – narrative. Still holding, though; it’s more about hedging against policy decisions than just supply now for me.

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    susan_clark💰Established (100-250k)Real Investorabout 2 months ago

    This is great news for the overall precious metals sector, not just Vale shareholders directly. Increased resource visibility from majors like Vale tends to stabilize prices long-term, which is what I’m looking for in my Gold IRA. I’ve been keeping an eye on the Sprott Physical Gold and Silver Trust (PSLV) to see how news like this impacts their holdings – their weekly reports are actually really detailed for tracking physical inventory.

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    jennifer_martinez💰Established (100-250k)Real Investor✓ Verifiedabout 2 months ago

    Interesting news from Vale. While growth sounds good on paper, I'm always looking at the all-in sustaining costs (AISC) per ounce these juniors or even majors project. More reserves are great, but if they're harder to extract profitably, it's just a number on a balance sheet. Saw a similar situation with Coeur back in '17, looked promising then the numbers just didn't pan out.

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    christopher_young🌟Ultra (5m+)Real Investor✓ Verifiedabout 2 months ago

    Interesting. This is exactly the kind of long-term strategic play I look for, not just in mining stocks but for gold-backed assets too. Seeing companies like Vale planning out reserve growth for years actually gives me more confidence in the underlying value we're all playing with. Always good to see a company thinking past next quarter's earnings.

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    steven_mitchell🏆Advanced (250-500k)Real Investor✓ Verifiedabout 2 months ago

    This thread's got me thinking about my own journey with gold. Back in '08, when everything was collapsing, my buddies in Cleveland were all pulling their hair out watching their 401ks hemorrhage. I had a decent chunk in the market then too, probably around 200k, and it felt like watching a slow-motion car crash. That's when an old-timer at my lodge, a guy who lived through the '70s inflation, started whispering about gold. I was skeptical, figured it was for doomsayers. But the fear, man, it was palpable. I ended up converting about 50k of my retirement to physical gold, bought it directly. Best decision I ever made for my sanity, let alone my portfolio. When the dust settled, that gold was a beacon of stability while everything else was still clawing its way back. Now, seeing news like Vale eyeing growth, it just reinforces that foundational security. It’s not about getting rich quick, it’s about not getting wiped out.

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    robert_thompson💰Established (100-250k)Real Investor✓ Verifiedabout 2 months ago

    @Susan Clark Totally agree, Susan. This kind of announcement from a heavyweight like Vale is exactly what I look for. It's not just about their bottom line; it sends a ripple of confidence through the whole sector. I've been watching my own portfolio here in Phoenix steadily grow, and it's these long-term stability indicators that make me comfortable keeping a significant chunk in precious metals. For silver fans, check out the Silver vs Stocks comparison – it's been a surprisingly useful tool, and really helped me visualize some of the long-term trends alongside gold.

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    linda_taylor📊Growing (50-100k)✓ Verifiedabout 2 months ago

    Interesting thread. While it's tempting to get excited about mining companies increasing their reserves, I've learned the hard way that potential growth doesn't always translate to realized profits for investors, especially in the short term. I parked about 70k of my retirement funds into physical gold a few years back, precisely to avoid relying on these kinds of projections that can be easily swayed by market sentiment or geopolitical shifts. Just last year, I remember some analysts were super bullish on certain mining stocks, then China's economic slowdown hit and those "guaranteed" gains evaporated quickly.

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    margaret_chen🏆Advanced (250-500k)Real Investorabout 2 months ago

    Pretty ambitious target from Vale, especially given the current geopolitical landscape and the increasing scrutiny on mining operations. For us investing directly in physical, it's a reminder that even the biggest players are constantly re-evaluating their long-term supply chain and resource procurement. It indirectly validates the long-term fundamentals for gold, as the cost of extraction for new reserves is only trending one way.

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    patricia_miller📊Growing (50-100k)✓ Verifiedabout 2 months ago

    **Username: MileHighBullion** Honestly, Vale projecting 20% growth by 2027 sounds ambitious but not impossible, especially if they're focused on uncovering new deposits or leveraging existing ones more efficiently. The real question for me, as someone holding a decent chunk of physical gold in my Gold IRA here in Denver, is whether this translates into sustainable, long-term supply stability or just a short-term bump. We've seen these mining projections before that don't quite pan out when the market shifts or regulatory hurdles pop up. I'm always wary of aggressive targets; slow and steady often wins the race in this sector.

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    kenneth_parker💎Premium (500k-1m)Real Investor✓ Verifiedabout 2 months ago

    Always interesting to see the majors talk up their reserves. For me, it just reinforces the long-term play for precious metals in my gold IRA. While 20% growth for a company like Vale is significant, it's a stark reminder that physical gold and silver aren't getting *newly mined* at that pace globally. Glad I did my 401k rollover when I did, locking in those physical assets.

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    donna_rogers🏆Advanced (250-500k)Real Investorabout 2 months ago

    @Steven Mitchell - You hit the nail on the head. My experience feels eerily similar, just a few years later. Back in 2012, when gas prices were astronomical and every news channel was screaming about the fiscal cliff, my financial advisor in Lexington was pushing me hard into tech and "emerging markets." My gut kept telling me to diversify, and luckily, I listened when I stumbled onto the idea of a gold IRA, almost as a last resort. It wasn't the insane gains that attracted me, but the stability, especially after seeing friends get absolutely clobbered.

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    timothy_reed💎Premium (500k-1m)Real Investorabout 2 months ago

    While Vale’s growth projections are interesting for the mining sector, I’m personally finding less and less reason to care about *new* gold reserves. My rationale for holding physical gold in my IRA has never been about future supply or even immediate market price, but rather as a hedge against the kind of systemic financial instability that’s brewing right now. The real value is in its unprintable nature, not in how much more of it we dig up next year.

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    daniel_wright💎Premium (500k-1m)Real Investor✓ Verifiedabout 2 months ago

    Interesting read, thanks for sharing. While miner potential like Vale’s growth is good for the overall supply picture, I don't tie my personal Gold IRA strategy too tightly to individual mining stock performance. My focus remains on the physical gold itself, held securely. It's about protecting capital, not chasing mining sector gains; for that, I have other investment vehicles.

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    michelle_collins🏆Advanced (250-500k)Real Investorabout 2 months ago

    @Jennifer Martinez, Totally agree about the AISC, it's the real gut-check. I learned that the hard way back in 2018. I was pretty green with my IRA then, just moving over around $300k from a diverse but volatile portfolio into gold. Saw some news about a junior miner, "Gold Peak Resources," boasting about doubling their reserves. Sounded fantastic on paper, like Vale's current news, right? Without digging into their AISC – which, in hindsight, was astronomical due to their remote location and complex ore body – I allocated a small portion of my **precious metals IRA** to them indirectly through an ETF that had a significant holding. My Gold IRA custodian, bless their heart, flagged it as high-risk, but I was convinced by the "growth potential." Fast forward eighteen months, and their costs per ounce just kept climbing, eating into any potential gains. The stock withered even as the spot price of gold rose. It was a painful lesson in understanding that *measured ounces don't equal profitable ounces*. Now, before I even consider anything like that again, I plug my details into the Eligibility Checker over at https://eligibility.goldir

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    david_brown💎Premium (500k-1m)Real Investorabout 2 months ago

    That's ambitious from Vale, and frankly, a bit of a head-scratcher given the current market. I’ve been burned by mining stocks before, had some real duds back in '08 when I dabbled outside my comfort zone. This forum's resources on resource-to-reserve ratios, though, have me looking at these announcements with a much more critical eye than I used to.

    0
    nancy_hall💰Established (100-250k)Real Investorabout 2 months ago

    @Linda Taylor, you're hitting on a crucial point there, and honestly, the hype around mining "potential" always makes me a little uneasy. While I hold a good portion of my 401k in a Gold IRA – sitting south of Tampa with about 180k in it – I'm increasingly of the mind that chasing the *next big thing* in mining is more speculative than true wealth preservation. I mean, the Gold vs. Stocks 10-year chart really crystalizes how consistent gold has been without needing to bet on a Brazilian mine hitting its targets. Maybe it's just me, but I sleep better knowing my gold isn't dependent on another quarterly earnings call or political stability in a country I can't even point to on a map without Googling.

    7
    ronald_morris👑Elite (1m-5m)Real Investorabout 2 months ago

    Pretty bold claim from Vale, but not surprising given the current climate. FWIW, I've found constantly checking the US Debt Clock (usdebtclock.org) to be a sobering, but incredibly useful, tool. It really puts into perspective why diversifying into tangibles like physical gold and silver, especially within an IRA, isn't just a good idea, it's becoming a necessity for preserving wealth.

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    charles_lewis💎Premium (500k-1m)Real Investorabout 2 months ago

    Here's a thought: Vale's eyeing 20% growth by '27, which is great for them, but for us precious metals folks, does it really matter? The actual physical supply of investment-grade gold or silver that we're after, the stuff you can actually hold, is a different beast entirely from what a mining giant like Vale is digging out for industrial uses. I just don't see this translating directly to a bump in my gold IRA's value.

    17
    mark_adams👑Elite (1m-5m)Real Investorabout 2 months ago

    @Patricia Miller - Thanks for the heads up on Vale. Frankly, mining projections are usually a crap shoot, too many variables. I’ve seen commodity plays like that go sideways faster than you can say "force majeure." What I've found more reliable for the long haul is focusing on the actual physical asset itself, especially when you're looking at protecting generational wealth. My approach has always been to stack the physical where I can control it, and use these growth projections from companies like Vale within a very small, speculative portion of the portfolio. Diversification, not just within gold, but across asset classes, is key.

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    andrew_roberts👑Elite (1m-5m)Real Investor✓ Verifiedabout 2 months ago

    Interesting news from Vale. Beyond just the headline number, I'm curious if anyone here is digging into how they plan to achieve that growth? Is it primarily through new exploration, or are they relying more on re-evaluating existing deposits with updated technology? The distinction could be significant for long-term supply stability.

    4
    ruth_perez📊Growing (50-100k)about 2 months ago

    This is interesting, especially given the current metals market. For those of us holding physical or paper gold and silver, mining company reports like this offer a glimpse into future supply constraints or surpluses. It's a key piece of the puzzle when forecasting price movements, even if we're mostly focused on the precious metals themselves.

    11
    william_davis💎Premium (500k-1m)Real Investorabout 2 months ago

    Interesting to see Vale's projections. While I track individual miners, my primary focus for retirement savings remains direct precious metals. The stability and tax advantages of my gold IRA, especially after my 401k rollover a few years back, are paramount. For those weighing their options, the Silver vs Stocks tool at https://silvervsstocks.goldirablueprint.com/?period=10Y is a solid resource, particularly if you're looking at long-term precious metals plays. Mine diversification is good, but nothing beats holding the physical asset in a tax-advantaged account for long-term wealth preservation, in my opinion, living here in Dallas.

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    catherine_bell🏆Advanced (250-500k)Real Investorabout 2 months ago

    Honestly, news like this from Vale always takes me back. I remember back in '08, watching the market tank from my kitchen table in Spokane, feeling that pit in my stomach as my 401k just evaporated. That's when I first started looking at *physical* assets, something I could actually hold. Didn't buy gold then, but that fear definitely lit a fire under me. Now, seeing these big players talk about increasing reserves, it just underscores why I finally bit the bullet on a Gold IRA with Augusta Precious Metals a few years back. It’s not about getting rich quick, it's about not reliving that '08 nightmare. My portfolio's around $300k now, and a decent chunk is in that gold, providing a solid anchor. This GIRAB forum actually helped me solidify that decision, compared to some of the garbage advice I got elsewhere.

    12
    brian_edwards🌟Ultra (5m+)Real Investor✓ Verifiedabout 2 months ago

    @Kenneth Parker Agreed. Seeing those majors expand their footprint just solidifies the bedrock argument for physical. I remember in '08, watching the paper slide while my allocated stack just… *was*. No magic, just tangible value holding strong. That's the kind of sleep-at-night assurance you can't put a price on, especially with the volatility we see these days. My Gold IRA hasn't been the flashiest mover, but it's been the steadiest hand on the tiller.

    4
    joseph_harris📊Growing (50-100k)about 2 months ago

    Man, stories like this about miners expanding always bring me back to why I even looked at gold in the first place. I remember watching my dad, bless his heart, lose a chunk of his 401k in '08. He worked his whole life in a factory north of Nashville, and seeing the worry lines deepen on his face when the market tanked… that’s a core memory. I swore I’d find a better way, something tangible to hold onto. That's why even modest growth from big players gives me a little extra peace of mind for my own portfolio.

    17
    donald_nelson💎Premium (500k-1m)Real Investor✓ Verifiedabout 2 months ago

    This is exactly why staying out of mining stocks is a core tenet for me. Back in '08, watching my other investments circle the drain, I remember having a sliver of Vale stock – thought I was being clever, diversified. Instead, it moved like a yo-yo, completely untethered from anything rational. That experience was a huge push for me to really dig into physical gold for my IRA, to have something truly *tangible* when the market decides to take a nosedive, not promises of future growth.

    1
    laura_sanchez💰Established (100-250k)Real Investor✓ Verifiedabout 2 months ago

    @William Davis You're spot on, William. Miners are interesting, but direct physical holds a comfort level the paper doesn't. After seeing a few too many market corrections chew up my "sure thing" stocks back in the early 2000s, I shifted a good chunk of my retirement savings into actual gold and silver in an IRA. The tax benefits are a godsend, especially with the inflation we're seeing down here in El Paso. I've been sleeping a lot easier since.

    17
    barbara_white🏆Advanced (250-500k)Real Investor✓ Verifiedabout 2 months ago

    Good thread. My main concern with these forward-looking statements from miners is less about their operational *ability* to hit targets, and more about the geopolitical stability of the regions where these "future reserves" are located. For these particular projections, does anyone know if Vale is factoring in any new significant developments in Brazil or Canada that could impact their access or operating costs for those increased reserves? Or is this just a pure geological estimate?

    3
    janet_cook📊Growing (50-100k)about 2 months ago

    Interesting news about Vale, always looking for a good mining play. Their growth targets are ambitious given the current market. Speaking of growth, it makes me wonder how silver will stack up against the general market in the next few years. For silver fans, check out the Silver vs Stocks comparison. It really helped me visualize some long-term trends before I dove deeper into my physical silver allocation – a decent chunk of my portfolio is in that, especially since I'm trying to grow my nest egg from that initial $75k I started with a few years back in Providence.

    0
    joshua_phillips🏆Advanced (250-500k)Real Investor✓ Verifiedabout 2 months ago

    @William Davis I can certainly appreciate the stability aspect when it comes to direct precious metals, especially within an IRA for those sweet tax benefits. However, speaking as someone who lives in Birmingham and has seen the value of diversification firsthand, sometimes those mining stocks, even just a small percentage, can offer a different kind of leverage. I've found that companies with strong growth projections like Vale, where they're looking at a 20% increase in reserves, can sometimes act as a nice accelerator for the overall portfolio, even while keeping the bulk of my retirement savings in physical. It's not about replacing direct gold, but perhaps enhancing the return potential of the precious metals portion of the portfolio.

    13
    frank_rivera💎Premium (500k-1m)Real Investorabout 2 months ago

    @Jennifer Martinez - Excellent point on the AISC, Jen. That's the real rub, isn't it? I’ve seen countless "promising" juniors here in the Pacific Rim with impressive reserve reports, but then you dig into their operational efficiency and suddenly that shiny growth projection looks more like fool's gold. Always felt it was a good litmus test – if a company isn't transparent or realistic about their all-in costs, I keep my distance. I learned that lesson the hard way back in '08 with a small outfit trying to reopen a historical mine on Oahu that had no business even looking at the price of diesel, let alone a viable return.

    9
    thomas_walker🏆Advanced (250-500k)Real Investor✓ Verifiedabout 2 months ago

    @Steven Mitchell, man, I feel that '08 pain. Not quite to the same degree, fortunately, but when the dot-com bubble burst back in '00, I thought I was hot stuff with my tech heavy portfolio. Watching those gains just vaporize, seeing my future evaporate with it, that was a gut punch. I swore off the market for a good few years after that, just kept my money in cash, feeling like a genius for avoiding further losses but also watching inflation gnaw away at what I had. It wasn't until around 2012, after hearing some hushed conversations at a San Diego BBQ about gold being a "safe haven," that I even considered it. My first thought was honestly, "Isn't that just for doomsday preppers?" But then I remembered the sinking feeling of '00, and the quiet security it might offer. I cautiously moved about $25k into a Gold IRA, almost as a psychological comfort blanket more than anything else. Fast forward to today, after years of dollar fluctuations and global jitters, that initial $25k has been steadily growing, and I've added to it significantly over time. It

    11
    ashley_baker💼Starter (0-50k)✓ Verifiedabout 2 months ago

    @Linda Taylor, you hit the nail on the head. "Potential growth" is exactly what spooked me after I lost a chunk of my 401k during the dot-com bust back in '99. I was living in Charleston then, working my tail off, and thought I was being smart by diversifying into some tech stocks everyone was buzzing about. When that bubble burst, it felt like a punch to the gut. I swore I'd never put my retirement eggs into something that felt so ethereal again. That's why, when it came time to roll over my next 401k more recently, even with just under 50k to work with, the *tangibility* of gold in an IRA just resonated with my soul. No fancy projections, just solid metal I could actually theoretically go touch.

    12
    sharon_evans💰Established (100-250k)Real Investorabout 2 months ago

    Totally agree, good catch on Vale. I've been keeping an eye on them too, though my focus is more on the physical. It makes me feel a lot more secure knowing there's continued growth in the underlying assets, even if it's not directly what I'm holding. This kind of news always reinforces my decision to diversify into precious metals.

    6
    elizabeth_johnson💰Established (100-250k)Real Investor✓ Verifiedabout 2 months ago

    @Carol Carter That's a good memory, Carol. I actually got into gold around the same time, though not with an IRA until 2012. I remember all the noise about peak oil, peak gold, you name it – felt like the sky was falling. My biggest lesson from that period wasn't about resource scarcity, but about finding a reliable provider for my precious metals IRA. I went with a big name at first, thought "safety in numbers," right? Big mistake. The fees were astronomical, and their buyback offer when I tried to rebalance was a joke. Take the time to really compare custodian fees and storage options upfront, not just the dealer's markup. I ended up switching to Augusta Precious Metals after about a year and a half, and the difference in transparency and customer service was night and day. Saved me a good bit on annual fees, which really adds up on a six-figure portfolio.

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    maria_campbell📊Growing (50-100k)✓ Verifiedabout 2 months ago

    Interesting news on Vale, but for Gold IRA investors, I'd say keep your eye on the actual physical gold. Companies expanding reserves are great for their stock, but the direct impact on the spot price of gold you're buying for retirement isn't always a straight line. Focus on the macro factors – inflation, interest rates, geopolitical stuff – those are the real drivers for your precious metals’ value.

    13
    dorothy_lopez💰Established (100-250k)Real Investorabout 2 months ago

    Interesting thread. Mining output is one thing, but how that translates to actual gold value over time is what I care about. For me, seeing the Gold vs Stocks 10-year comparison at the GIRAB site was a turning point. Living in Vegas, it’s easy to get caught up in flashy short-term gains, but that chart really grounded my long-term strategy for my IRA.

    7
    sandra_green📊Growing (50-100k)✓ Verifiedabout 2 months ago

    Interesting news from Vale. While growth in reserves *sounds* good on paper, for us Gold IRA folks, it's a good reminder that the big miners' performance doesn't always directly track the spot price of gold. My own gold allocation is more about strategic diversification and hedging against inflation than betting on mining stock performance. Always do your own due diligence on the underlying metal, not just the producers.

    5
    paul_hill🏆Advanced (250-500k)Real Investor✓ Verifiedabout 2 months ago

    Interesting report on Vale. My question is, how much of that projected growth in reserves and resources is actually proven versus just "indicated" or "inferred"? We've seen similar announcements before from other miners that ended up being mostly speculative, and I'm always wary of anything that significantly boosts future production outlooks without ironclad geological data to back it up.

    10
    matthew_murphy👑Elite (1m-5m)Real Investorabout 2 months ago

    This is interesting news for the broader precious metals sector, even if it's primarily iron ore. Growth in any major mining operation suggests underlying confidence in resource demand. For us holding a gold IRA, it's a reminder that physical assets are finite and their value is tied to extraction and supply. Always good to see companies investing in future output.

    15
    helen_turner💰Established (100-250k)Real Investorabout 2 months ago

    @Elizabeth Johnson You're spot on, Elizabeth! Peak everything was definitely the vibe back then. I remember dipping my toes in gold around '08 after losing a chunk in the market, but it was just physical. The whole IRA thing seemed like a scam after some truly awful boiler-room calls from a company out of Vegas. Honestly, I didn't expect much from another gold forum but GIRAB actually surprised me with the clarity on fees and custodians, which is why I finally pulled the trigger on a proper Gold IRA in 2015. Still wish I'd done it sooner, but better late than never.

    11
    richard_garcia👑Elite (1m-5m)Real Investorabout 2 months ago

    @Joshua Phillips I hear you on that stability, especially when the market’s doing its best impersonation of a rollercoaster. I’ve been stacking precious metals longer than some folks on here have been alive, and the tax benefits in an IRA are indeed sweet. Speaking of direct metals, for silver fans, check out the Silver vs Stocks comparison over at https://silvervsstocks.goldirablueprint.com/?period=10Y – it really puts things into perspective, especially over the long haul. My portfolio's been holding steady through plenty of ups and downs right here in Houston, and a significant chunk of it is in physical.

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