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    Barrick warns of “significant increases” to budget, timeline for Pakistan copper project

    Key Takeaways
    • I mean, we've seen this movie before, right?
    • Geopolitical risk, remote locations like Balochistan, and massive projects often lead to these kinds of delays and cost overruns.
    • My first thought was, how much "significant" are we talking here?
    See what your 401(k) could look like in gold

    Hey everyone,

    Just read this article about Barrick's Reko Diq project in Pakistan: https://www.mining.com/barrick-warns-of-significant-increases-to-budget-timeline-for-pakistan-copper-project/

    This "significant increases to budget and timeline" news for one of the world's largest undeveloped copper deposits isn't exactly a shocker, but it's still a bummer. I mean, we've seen this movie before, right? Geopolitical risk, remote locations like Balochistan, and massive projects often lead to these kinds of delays and cost overruns. I've got some exposure to a few mining stocks, and these kinds of updates always make me a little nervous, especially when I'm thinking about my retirement portfolio. Copper is obviously a crucial metal for the green energy transition, so the long-term demand is there, but these development hurdles keep pushing out the supply.

    My first thought was, how much "significant" are we talking here? A year delay and a 10% cost increase is one thing, but if it's more substantial, it could really impact the NPV of the project and, consequently, Barrick's future earnings power. It just highlights the importance of truly diversified holdings in this sector for retail investors like us. I'm trying to balance my growth plays with some more established, lower-risk companies to protect my downside for my family's future. What are your thoughts on this? Does this news make you reconsider any of your holdings or investment strategies in the mining sector?

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    18 comments

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    Best Answer▲ 19 upvotes
    D
    donna_rogers🏆Advanced (250-500k)
    Another day, another reminder why I stick with physical. These mega-projects always run into "unforeseen" budget overruns and timeline delays. I remember back in '08 when everyone was hyping up those South American exploration plays, same story. Diversification is key, but give me the tangible asset in my vault over some future promise that might evaporate.

    Comments (18)

    19
    donna_rogers🏆Advanced (250-500k)Real Investorabout 2 months ago

    Another day, another reminder why I stick with physical. These mega-projects always run into "unforeseen" budget overruns and timeline delays. I remember back in '08 when everyone was hyping up those South American exploration plays, same story. Diversification is key, but give me the tangible asset in my vault over some future promise that might evaporate.

    17
    ruth_perez📊Growing (50-100k)about 2 months ago

    This Barrick news is a good reminder why I stick with physical. Less geopolitical headaches than some of these mine plays. On another note, for anyone else eyeing retirement like me down here in Albuquerque, the RMD Calculator at Gold IRA Blueprint was super helpful for figuring out my withdrawal schedule for next year. Worth a look if you're trying to plan that out.

    13
    helen_turner💰Established (100-250k)Real Investorabout 2 months ago

    Sounds about right for a copper project in a politically unstable region. It just reinforces why I went heavy into a gold IRA for my retirement savings; the stability of precious metals compared to these volatile mining operations is night and day. Glad I did that 401k rollover when I did, the tax advantages alone are huge.

    8
    jason_morgan💰Established (100-250k)Real Investor✓ Verifiedabout 2 months ago

    This is interesting – makes me wonder about the ripple effects on gold. If copper projects are getting hit with budget overruns like this, does that signal broader inflation in the materials sector that could push gold prices up? I'm still wrapping my head around all the macro factors honestly, just started my Gold IRA last year with about $150k down here in Jax.

    16
    timothy_reed💎Premium (500k-1m)Real Investorabout 2 months ago

    Interesting news out of Barrick. While I appreciate the transparency, these constant "significant increases" are exactly why I've been shifting some of my mining stock exposure into physical metals within my IRA. Remember when Goldcorp had those issues with the Penasquito pit expansion back in the day? Ended up costing shareholders a pretty penny, even with gold prices doing well. It just highlights the inherent operational risks in equity plays versus the direct ownership of the asset itself.

    1
    ashley_baker💼Starter (0-50k)✓ Verifiedabout 2 months ago

    This is concerning, especially with the talk of inflation hitting everything. I just moved a portion of my 401k to a Gold IRA last year, thinking physical gold was a solid hedge against instability. Given these supply chain and cost increase issues hitting even huge players like Barrick, does anyone think this could actually drive *down* the price of gold if these projects slow down, or is the general consensus that it'll push prices up due to scarcity?

    5
    richard_garcia👑Elite (1m-5m)Real Investorabout 2 months ago

    @Ashley Baker – Totally get your concern. I felt the same way when I rolled over a significant chunk from my tech stocks last year – maybe not as much as the 401k crowd, but still a notable part of my portfolio. Living in Houston, I’m constantly hearing about energy inflation and it makes you really reconsider what's "safe." If you’re looking to dig deeper into the actual mechanics and the various options, the Learning Center at https://learn.goldirablueprint.com/?forum has some pretty comprehensive guides. I found their section on differentiating between physical gold in an IRA vs. gold ETFs super helpful when I was doing my diligence.

    5
    karen_robinson💼Starter (0-50k)about 2 months ago

    Wow, another one bites the dust. It feels like every week there's another story about a major project spiraling out of control. Makes me glad I kept my Gold IRA simple. For those looking to set one up, I actually found the Best Gold IRA Companies comparison right here on Gold IRA Blueprint super helpful when I was vetting providers – definitely saved me some headaches. It broke down all the fees and custodian options in a way that wasn't overwhelming. I'm based out of Columbus, OH and my portfolio isn't huge, under 50k, so I really needed to make sure I wasn't getting fleeced on fees.

    14
    donald_nelson💎Premium (500k-1m)Real Investor✓ Verifiedabout 2 months ago

    Ugh, this is exactly the kind of headache I avoided back in '21 when I decided against getting too deep into gold mining stocks. Had Barrick on my radar for a hot minute and I'm glad I pivoted. My physical gold holdings in the IRA always seemed like the safer, more direct bet anyway.

    10
    sandra_green📊Growing (50-100k)✓ Verifiedabout 2 months ago

    @Ruth Perez You hit the nail on the head, Ruth. That Barrick news is exactly why I diversified my *physical* holdings first, even though I've got mine exposure in my regular brokerage account. Geopolitical risk is no joke, especially with these massive projects. For your retirement planning in Albuquerque, and assuming you're looking at your Gold IRA for that, my biggest tip is to really scrutinize the custodian fees. I almost went with a popular one that had a low intro rate, but after digging, their storage and administration fees would have eaten up too much over 10-15 years. Found a solid one based out of Delaware that was much more transparent and saved me a lot in the long run. Also, don't be afraid to stack some silver in that IRA too; it’s a good diversifier within the precious metals category.

    16
    robert_thompson💰Established (100-250k)Real Investor✓ Verifiedabout 2 months ago

    This is exactly why I’ve been scaling back on mining stocks and focusing more on physical. Too many variables. I was looking at their filings for Q3 last year and the CAPEX increases were already brutal. For anyone diving into specific mining companies, I found the **MineSight software** tutorials on YouTube surprisingly insightful for understanding the actual engineering challenges these companies face. Really puts things into perspective beyond just the quarterly reports.

    19
    james_wilson👑Elite (1m-5m)Real Investor✓ Verifiedabout 2 months ago

    This isn't great news for the mining sector, but it's exactly why I'm so heavy into physical precious metals in my gold IRA. Geopolitical risks and unexpected budget overruns are par for the course with resource extraction, and that volatility just reinforces the stability I crave for my retirement savings. My 401k rollover into gold was specifically to avoid these kinds of headaches.

    12
    william_davis💎Premium (500k-1m)Real Investorabout 2 months ago

    @Helen Turner
    Preach, Helen, preach! That hit home harder than a Texas summer. I poured almost half a million into my Gold IRA back in '21, right when the inflation alarms started blaring louder than a rodeo announcer. My wife thought I was nuts, said I was being a doomsayer, but after watching my paper assets dance a jig with every global hiccup, I just couldn't stomach it anymore. That stability feels like a weighted blanket compared to the rollercoaster I was on; gives me peace of mind when I look at the Dallas skyline and know my retirement isn't tied to some far-flung copper mine.

    7
    steven_mitchell🏆Advanced (250-500k)Real Investor✓ Verifiedabout 2 months ago

    @Karen Robinson, I hear you, loud and clear. This Barrick news from Pakistan isn't just about one project; it's a symptom of a larger geopolitical and logistical headache that’s been creeping into the mining sector for years. When I was first setting up my Gold IRA out here in Cleveland a few years back, I actually dug into some of these copper plays, thinking about diversification. But the overhead and political instability often made the margins look, frankly, scary compared to just holding physical. You always have to weigh the potential upside against the significant, often hidden, risks of operating in certain regions. It just reinforces my decision to stick to the hard assets that are already above ground, or at least in very stable extraction zones. These kinds of announcements tend to give gold a quiet little boost, too, as people look for safe harbors from project volatility.

    14
    charles_lewis💎Premium (500k-1m)Real Investorabout 2 months ago

    This is exactly the kind of news that makes me nervous about relying on mining stocks for my metals exposure. With these *significant increases* to budget and timeline, I'm wondering how much of that risk is typically priced into major miner equities already, or if we're seeing more delayed reactions in the market to this kind of news.

    8
    ronald_morris👑Elite (1m-5m)Real Investorabout 2 months ago

    @Richard Garcia – Totally hear you on the anxiety of moving significant capital. It's a different beast than just speculating on individual stocks, for sure. I remember back in 2022, right after the market started getting really squirrelly, I pulled about $850k out of a pretty diversified portfolio – mostly blue-chip tech and some real estate REITs – and rolled it into a Gold IRA. My financial advisor, bless his heart, thought I was absolutely nuts. Kept waving charts about historical returns and opportunity costs. But listening to the news from places like Pakistan, and watching the geopolitical chessboard, I just had this gut feeling. Fees were a concern, finding a reputable custodian was a whole thing, and yeah, that initial plunge felt like I was driving off a cliff without a parachute. But seeing how things have played out, especially with the dollar's wobbles and the constant talk of inflation, I’ve never regretted it. Peace of mind is a hell of a dividend.

    9
    andrew_roberts👑Elite (1m-5m)Real Investor✓ Verifiedabout 2 months ago

    This is precisely why I’ve always been wary of direct mining stock plays, especially in politically unstable regions. I remember researching Barrick a few years back, along with Freeport-McMoRan, but the geopolitical risk factor for these high-cap endeavors always gives me pause. It's one thing to own the physical metal, quite another to own a piece of a company scrambling to secure resources and navigate volatile international relations. My Goldco rep always emphasized the direct ownership, and I've found that peace of mind worth the premium.

    9
    frank_rivera💎Premium (500k-1m)Real Investorabout 2 months ago

    This is exactly why due diligence on mining companies requires looking beyond the quarterly reports. Jurisdictional risk in these resource-rich but politically unstable regions is a huge factor for long-term gold and copper plays. Remember getting burned on a similar project in West Africa back in '08; thought the upside was worth the risk, but permitting delays and local 'negotiations' ate up any potential gains. Sticking to established mining regions for my physical metals has always paid off better in the long run.

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