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    Update: Momentum Confirms the Royalty Thesis

    Key Takeaways
    • Hey everyone, just read this article: "Update: Momentum Confirms the Royalty Thesis" by John Newell.
    • It's looking at Silver Crown Royalties (SCRI) and his "Speculative Buy" call on it.
    • I find royalty companies fascinating, especially in the resource sector.
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    Hey everyone, just read this article: "Update: Momentum Confirms the Royalty Thesis" by John Newell. It's looking at Silver Crown Royalties (SCRI) and his "Speculative Buy" call on it.

    I find royalty companies fascinating, especially in the resource sector. The idea of getting a piece of the revenue without the direct operational risks has always appealed to me. I've dabbled in a few different resource plays over the years, mostly small caps for some speculative growth in my portfolio, and the ones with a royalty component have generally been less volatile during downturns. My dad actually retired off some well-timed royalty investments decades ago, so it's always been in the back of my mind. Newell's update here, talking about the momentum confirming the thesis, makes me wonder if SCRI is finally hitting that sweet spot after a period of consolidation.

    I'm weighing whether to add a small position to my own portfolio, thinking about it as a long-term hold for my kids' education fund. The "speculative" tag still gives me pause, but the underlying concept of royalties is strong. What are your thoughts on SCRI specifically, or on royalty companies in general? Anyone here have direct experience with SCRI or other similar resource royalty plays? Always good to hear what the community thinks!

    75
    24 comments

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    Best Answer▲ 18 upvotes
    A
    ashley_baker💼Starter (0-50k)
    @Sandra Green - Congrats on hitting that 75k mark, that’s huge! I remember when I started my Gold IRA journey here in Charleston, it was right after I saw my 401(k) take a real hit during that market dip a few years back. Honestly, after watching those paper gains just poof into thin air, the idea of something tangible, something that’s been valued for millennia… it just clicked. My portfolio is still pretty modest, only hovering around the $30k mark, but seeing that physical gold tucked away, knowing it's there no matter what the news cycle says – that peace of mind is worth more than any volatile stock gain. It’s a slow build, but it feels like I’m actually owning something this time, not just playing numbers on a screen.

    Comments (24)

    13
    sandra_green📊Growing (50-100k)✓ Verifiedabout 1 month ago

    Totally digging this update, thanks for diving deep into the royalty thesis. As a fellow Gold IRA holder – just crossed the 75k mark earlier this year myself with my KC-based advisor – it’s reassuring to see the momentum play out. I've been feeling pretty good about that decision I made back in '21 to diversify, and posts like these just cement that confidence.

    4
    carol_carter💰Established (100-250k)Real Investorabout 1 month ago

    Totally agree with the momentum side of things, especially in the current climate. I remember back in '08, right before everything went sideways, I had a decent chunk in a tech stock that everyone was raving about. My uncle, bless his heart, kept nudging me towards precious metals, specifically a Gold IRA, saying "It's a long game, kid, but when the market gets rocky, that's your lifeboat." I finally moved about 150k of that tech money over in late 2007, and by mid-2009, while my friends were picking up pennies trying to recover, my gold holdings had not only weathered the storm but were showing a healthy gain. Best decision I ever made, especially living out here in Omaha where we saw firsthand how the agricultural market got hit too.

    7
    donna_rogers🏆Advanced (250-500k)Real Investorabout 1 month ago

    Totally agree with the momentum play here. I’ve been building out my physical gold position through a Gold IRA for the last couple of years, primarily with American Gold Eagles. Even down here in Lexington, I'm seeing more and more folks at local coin shows talking about the security of physical assets. Between the geopolitical instability and the sheer amount of debt being printed, it feels like a no-brainer to hedge with something tangible.

    7
    betty_king📊Growing (50-100k)about 1 month ago

    I've been in PMs for a while, mostly with my IRA, and while I agree on the long-term fundamentals of precious metals, I'm finding it hard to get *too* excited about royalty companies right now. My portfolio, around $75k in gold and silver, mostly physical bullion held in a vault down in Delaware for my IRA, has seen some steady, if unspectacular, gains over the last few years. While the royalty model *sounds* great in theory, especially avoiding direct operational risk, I’m waiting to see how they truly weather increased geopolitical instability and potential supply chain disruptions before diverting more of my capital from direct asset ownership. The premiums on some of these royalty plays feel a bit stretched given the current environment, and my advisor here in Raleigh has been suggesting we stay conservative on new equity plays for now.

    14
    james_wilson👑Elite (1m-5m)Real Investor✓ Verifiedabout 1 month ago

    Interesting take on the royalty play. While I generally agree that diversification is key, I've personally seen more consistent returns and better inflation protection from my physical gold holdings, especially the 2018 allocation I moved into my IRA. The long-term stability just feels more concrete than relying on a mining company's fluctuating output and management.

    3
    laura_sanchez💰Established (100-250k)Real Investor✓ Verifiedabout 1 month ago

    Okay, I get the excitement around royalty streams, especially with this kind of momentum. But frankly, as someone who pulled the trigger on a Gold IRA about a year and a half ago — put a good chunk, around $180k, into physical gold and silver allocated out of a facility in Delaware — I’m still scratching my head a bit at chasing these higher-beta plays. My portfolio's up a decent clip, 12-15% since then, just sitting on the tangible stuff. What am I missing about tying my inflation hedge to what's essentially an income statement?

    16
    elizabeth_johnson💰Established (100-250k)Real Investor✓ Verifiedabout 1 month ago

    I've been following this topic closely and really appreciate the insights here.

    6
    brian_edwards🌟Ultra (5m+)Real Investor✓ Verifiedabout 1 month ago

    Good to see others picking up on the royalty stream thesis. I’ve been structuring my physical precious metals holdings, specifically my Gold IRA, around this concept for a few years now. The stability it offers, especially given the current geopolitical landscape and inflation concerns, is a no-brainer for long-term wealth preservation. I actually ran some projections on the IRA Calculator at https://calculator.goldirablueprint.com/?forum and was quite frankly shocked at the potential for tax-deferred growth when accounting for royalty-backed assets. It really highlighted the difference compared to just holding spot. It’s what allowed me to confidently diversify some of my other investments out of traditional equities in 2021 without feeling exposed. For anyone with a significant portfolio, say north of $5M, who's living somewhere with high property taxes like Aspen, optimizing tax efficiency *and* capital preservation is paramount.

    12
    matthew_murphy👑Elite (1m-5m)Real Investorabout 1 month ago

    Absolutely, nailed it! That momentum confirmation is exactly what I've been seeing with my own precious metals portfolio, especially the royalty plays. I started seriously diversifying into gold and silver back in late 2019, rolling over some assets from my old 401k, and the stability – even growth – has been a huge comfort sitting here in Dublin, Ohio. Honestly, it solidified my belief that tangible assets are crucial for long-term wealth preservation, especially when you're looking at a 1m-5m portfolio where capital protection is paramount. If anyone's still on the fence, do yourself a favor and take the Gold IRA Quiz – it's a fantastic tool that really helped me refine my strategy and understand the ins and outs of adding precious metals to my retirement.

    5
    helen_turner💰Established (100-250k)Real Investorabout 1 month ago

    @Laura Sanchez I hear you, and it's easy to get swept up in the latest shiny thing. When I first diversified my 401(k) into a Gold IRA back in '08, right before the big financial shake-up, a lot of folks in Louisville were still chasing tech stocks like they were the next big thing. My financial advisor at the time, bless his heart, kept reminding me about the long game, especially with precious metals. It wasn't about the quick pop; it was about protecting what you had when everything else went sideways.

    16
    ruth_perez📊Growing (50-100k)about 1 month ago

    This was such a fantastic breakdown, thank you! I've been sitting on about 75k in my Gold IRA here in Albuquerque for the last two years, mostly physical, and this really solidifies my decision to finally diversify a bit into some royalty streams. The data you presented on the long-term stability is exactly what I needed to see to pull the trigger.

    0
    daniel_wright💎Premium (500k-1m)Real Investor✓ Verifiedabout 1 month ago

    I appreciate the optimistic outlook on the royalty thesis, and I can definitely see the appeal of that kind of leveraged upside. However, as an investor in Austin who's seen a few boom-bust cycles firsthand, I tend to favor a more foundational approach. Looking at the Gold vs Stocks 10-year comparison really puts into perspective why I allocated a good chunk of my portfolio, approaching six figures, into physical gold within a Gold IRA about five years ago – it's a bedrock against some of that speculative volatility.

    12
    william_davis💎Premium (500k-1m)Real Investorabout 1 month ago

    @Daniel Wright, I appreciate the optimism you bring, and I also understand the allure of that leveraged upside. As someone here in Dallas who's navigated the markets for a few decades with a portfolio built around a similar philosophy, I've just grown a bit more cautious about "thesis momentum" lately. I've personally seen how quickly things can pivot. The Gold vs Stocks 10-year comparison at goldvsstocks.goldirablueprint.com/?period=10Y really puts things in perspective for me – while royalties can be exciting, the stability of physical gold as a counterbalance has proven invaluable in ensuring my portfolio (which hovers between $500k and $1M) weathers those inevitable storms. It's not about being against growth, but about balancing it with a bedrock of tangible assets, especially with the current global uncertainties.

    5
    jason_morgan💰Established (100-250k)Real Investor✓ Verifiedabout 1 month ago

    @Matthew Murphy – Really appreciate you sharing your insights on momentum confirmation! I’m still pretty new to the Gold IRA world – just got mine set up with about $150k rolled over from an old 401k a few months back. I've been reading a lot about the direct gold and silver plays, but honestly, "royalty plays" is a new term for me. Would you mind elaborating a bit on what those entail and how they fit into a precious metals portfolio? I'm trying to soak up as much as I can down here in Jacksonville!

    17
    mark_adams👑Elite (1m-5m)Real Investorabout 1 month ago

    Interesting analysis on the royalty play. I've been eyeing some junior miners with strong exploration data for a while now, looking for that sweet spot before the majors come knocking. Given the recent uptick in metals, do you think we're seeing increased M&A activity that could push valuations even higher for these royalty streams, or is the market still underpricing the long-term potential before full consolidation?

    18
    ashley_baker💼Starter (0-50k)✓ Verifiedabout 1 month ago

    @Sandra Green - Congrats on hitting that 75k mark, that’s huge! I remember when I started my Gold IRA journey here in Charleston, it was right after I saw my 401(k) take a real hit during that market dip a few years back. Honestly, after watching those paper gains just *poof* into thin air, the idea of something tangible, something that’s been valued for millennia… it just clicked. My portfolio is still pretty modest, only hovering around the $30k mark, but seeing that physical gold tucked away, knowing it's there no matter what the news cycle says – that peace of mind is worth more than any volatile stock gain. It’s a slow build, but it feels like I’m actually *owning* something this time, not just playing numbers on a screen.

    18
    kenneth_parker💎Premium (500k-1m)Real Investor✓ Verifiedabout 1 month ago

    @Carol Carter That '08 analogy hits home. I was staring down a pretty nasty paper loss on some regional bank stocks around that time myself, thinking I was smart for chasing yield. That experience, and watching gold actually *hold its own* when everything else was melting, was a huge wake-up call for me to diversify into hard assets. Honestly, the **U.S. Gold Bureau's Gold IRA Rollover Kit** was a lifesaver when I finally pulled the trigger a few years back. It broke down the whole process in plain English and made the logistics of moving a good chunk of my 401k a lot less intimidating. Definitely worth a look if anyone's considering it.

    13
    gary_stewart📊Growing (50-100k)about 1 month ago

    Honestly, reading this just brought back a wave of memories. I remember sitting at my kitchen table in Fresno back in '08, staring at my 401k statement, feeling this cold dread creep up my spine. My portfolio, which I'd diligently built for years, looked like it was in a freefall. My wife, bless her heart, kept saying, "It'll come back, honey," but I saw the news, I saw the panic. That's when I started looking into tangible assets, something I could really *feel* had value beyond paper. Gold felt… solid. I started with a small portion, maybe 10k initially, slowly building it up over the next few years. Seeing that yellow line on the gold charts steadily climb while everything else was a rollercoaster just gave me so much peace of mind. It wasn't about getting rich quick; it was about not losing everything I’d worked for. Now, with a good chunk of my retirement in physical gold, that original fear has been replaced with a quiet confidence. For anyone feeling that same anxiety I did, honestly, the Learning Center at https://learn.goldirablueprint.com/?forum

    8
    catherine_bell🏆Advanced (250-500k)Real Investorabout 1 month ago

    @William Davis, I definitely hear you on the leveraged upside attraction, and it's something I've seen play out in various cycles, even from my corner here in Spokane. Where I think the royalty play gets especially interesting, though, particularly for us holding physical assets like gold in an IRA, is the *fundamental* shield it provides against the whims of the broader market. It's not just about an upward lever – it's owning a piece of the production itself, meaning even if sentiment dips, that underlying output still has value. I’ve been building my gold IRA for about 15 years now, and the stability derived from knowing the asset isn't purely speculative has been a huge comfort during the more turbulent times.

    0
    david_brown💎Premium (500k-1m)Real Investorabout 1 month ago

    @William Davis, Always appreciate hearing from seasoned investors, especially those who've seen a few cycles. Your point about balanced optimism really resonates with me up here in Boston. I've been slowly building my physical gold holdings within my IRA over the last few years, particularly after seeing my equity portfolio take a few unanticipated dips. It’s hard to ignore the stability it’s provided, especially with the inflation numbers we've been seeing.

    12
    maria_campbell📊Growing (50-100k)✓ Verifiedabout 1 month ago

    While I appreciate the excitement around royalty streams, I'm finding myself a little more cautious these days. I've had a decent chunk of my retirement savings (north of $75k) tied up in physical gold through an IRA for a few years now, and the stability it offers, especially when things get a bit wobbly in the broader market, just feels more… foundational. It’s hard to argue with something that’s held its value for millennia, even if it doesn't give you that same “momentum” buzz.

    15
    joseph_harris📊Growing (50-100k)about 1 month ago

    Honestly, I get that the royalty plays are hot right now, and yeah, precious metals are looking strong. But after seeing my buddy in Franklin get absolutely burned on some 'sure thing' lithium royalty last year, I'm sticking to the physical. There’s something about holding those ~30 ounces of gold I’ve accumulated since 2019, knowing it's *mine* and not dependent on some company's quarterly report, that just sleeps better for me here in Nashville.

    6
    patricia_miller📊Growing (50-100k)✓ Verifiedabout 1 month ago

    Honestly, I saw a lot of folks here betting big on tech a few years back, and I remember feeling this gnawing anxiety, like I was missing some huge boat. I pulled about $75k out of what was mostly a balanced fund in late 2021, right before the big market wobble, and moved it into a Gold IRA. My financial advisor in Denver thought I was nuts, said it was too conservative, but watching the news every day, seeing the inflation numbers tick up, it just felt *right*. Now, with things settling a bit, that move feels less like "nuts" and more like "prescient.

    17
    dorothy_lopez💰Established (100-250k)Real Investorabout 1 month ago

    Yep, totally on board with this. We bought our first batch of physical in late 2021, and honestly, seeing the trajectory since then has been validating. We're thinking about adding another 20% to our allocation next quarter, especially with all the noise coming out of the Fed lately – just feels like the smart play.

    The retirement loophole most advisors won't mention

    You can move your 401(k) into physical gold — tax-free. Here's the step-by-step guide.

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