Tungsten crunch can be fixed before prices spike further: BMO
- •Hey everyone, just read this article on Mining.com about the tungsten crunch and wanted to get your thoughts.
- •Link here: Tungsten crunch can be fixed before prices spike further: BMO .
- •It's interesting how BMO thinks this is fixable before prices go totally parabolic, despite the China export curbs and weak mine output.
Hey everyone, just read this article on Mining.com about the tungsten crunch and wanted to get your thoughts. Link here: Tungsten crunch can be fixed before prices spike further: BMO. It's interesting how BMO thinks this is fixable before prices go totally parabolic, despite the China export curbs and weak mine output. My first thought is that "fixable" in these situations often means it can be fixed, not that it will be fixed in a timely or cost-effective manner. We've seen this play out with other critical minerals where the market just takes ages to rebalance, and by then, a lot of damage is already done to downstream industries.
I've been keeping a close eye on materials like tungsten for a while now, especially with the geopolitical shifts. While my core portfolio is pretty diversified, I do have some exposure to industrial materials, and frankly, I'm a bit skeptical of BMO's optimism here. My experience tells me that when you have a supply chain as concentrated as tungsten’s, any disruption, even if "fixable," usually translates to sustained higher prices until new sources or technologies truly come online. It makes me think about the importance of having some hedges in place, something less tied to these industrial cycles. For example, I've been looking into precious metals as a way to protect my retirement savings from this kind of volatility. I even used this Gold IRA Blueprint tool just last week to get a better sense of how gold might fit into my long-term strategy, and it was pretty insightful for calculating potential future values.
What are your takes on this? Do you think the market can genuinely rebalance quickly, or are we in for a prolonged period of high tungsten prices? Are any of you directly invested in companies that would either benefit from or be hurt by a prolonged tungsten shortage? Always good to hear what the community is seeing out there.