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    Tungsten crunch can be fixed before prices spike further: BMO

    Key Takeaways
    • Hey everyone, just read this article on Mining.com about the tungsten crunch and wanted to get your thoughts.
    • Link here: Tungsten crunch can be fixed before prices spike further: BMO .
    • It's interesting how BMO thinks this is fixable before prices go totally parabolic, despite the China export curbs and weak mine output.
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    Hey everyone, just read this article on Mining.com about the tungsten crunch and wanted to get your thoughts. Link here: Tungsten crunch can be fixed before prices spike further: BMO. It's interesting how BMO thinks this is fixable before prices go totally parabolic, despite the China export curbs and weak mine output. My first thought is that "fixable" in these situations often means it can be fixed, not that it will be fixed in a timely or cost-effective manner. We've seen this play out with other critical minerals where the market just takes ages to rebalance, and by then, a lot of damage is already done to downstream industries.

    I've been keeping a close eye on materials like tungsten for a while now, especially with the geopolitical shifts. While my core portfolio is pretty diversified, I do have some exposure to industrial materials, and frankly, I'm a bit skeptical of BMO's optimism here. My experience tells me that when you have a supply chain as concentrated as tungsten’s, any disruption, even if "fixable," usually translates to sustained higher prices until new sources or technologies truly come online. It makes me think about the importance of having some hedges in place, something less tied to these industrial cycles. For example, I've been looking into precious metals as a way to protect my retirement savings from this kind of volatility. I even used this Gold IRA Blueprint tool just last week to get a better sense of how gold might fit into my long-term strategy, and it was pretty insightful for calculating potential future values.

    What are your takes on this? Do you think the market can genuinely rebalance quickly, or are we in for a prolonged period of high tungsten prices? Are any of you directly invested in companies that would either benefit from or be hurt by a prolonged tungsten shortage? Always good to hear what the community is seeing out there.

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    14 comments

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    Best Answer▲ 19 upvotes
    J
    james_wilson👑Elite (1m-5m)
    What a laugh. "Can be fixed." Yeah, right. I remember back in '08, everyone was saying the housing market "could be fixed" if we just did X, Y, and Z. Meanwhile, I was looking at my portfolio from my office in Midtown, seeing numbers I didn't recognize, and thinking, this is the time to diversify. It was that feeling that pushed me into looking at physical assets for the first time. The tungsten situation, while not directly tied to gold, has the same underlying current – it’s a global supply chain vulnerability. People need to wake up before it hits their pocketbooks directly.

    Comments (14)

    1
    frank_rivera💎Premium (500k-1m)Real Investorabout 1 month ago

    Reading this, I'm thinking back to the silver run-up in the early 2010s – remember how many "experts" were calling for a quick fix to supply chain issues then too? It truly felt like there was a new analyst report every other week dismissing the long-term price potential. My experience with commodities, especially the more niche ones like tungsten, suggests that these 'fixable' crunches often linger much longer than anticipated, giving smart money plenty of time to position.

    2
    michelle_collins🏆Advanced (250-500k)Real Investorabout 1 month ago

    While I appreciate the sentiment from BMO, and I generally trust their analysis, I'm finding it increasingly difficult to believe these "crisis averted" predictions the further we get into this geopolitical quagmire. Remember when everyone said the iron ore crunch of 2021 was "transitory" and would be "fixed quickly"? My portfolio in Richmond didn't feel so transitory when I saw the ripple effects. I'm taking this with a grain of salt and still hedging with physical.

    14
    jason_morgan💰Established (100-250k)Real Investor✓ Verifiedabout 1 month ago

    Man, reading about these supply chain issues always gets my anxiety up a bit. It reminds me of 2008, when my 401k just *tanked*. I lost, seriously, a third of my retirement savings in Jacksonville, watching the value just plummet. That gut-wrenching feeling of financial instability? That's when I swore I'd never be caught off guard like that again, which is why a good chunk of my portfolio, about 150k now, is firmly in physical gold in my IRA. tungsten or not.

    0
    catherine_bell🏆Advanced (250-500k)Real Investorabout 1 month ago

    BMO weighing in on tungsten, eh? Interesting. I've always seen tungsten as more of an industrial play, less directly tied to the *investment* metals I focus on. For IRAs, stick to the tried and true. That said, supply chain issues are a bellwether for everything these days. Remember 2020? I saw similar chatter then about obscure metals, and while some did tick up, the real gains were still in the foundational assets. Diversification is key, but not at the expense of understanding your core holdings.

    12
    maria_campbell📊Growing (50-100k)✓ Verifiedabout 1 month ago

    It just feels like this tungsten situation, and honestly a lot of the supply chain "crises" we've seen lately, are more about market manipulation than genuine scarcity. Always a convenient excuse to jack up prices for a few quarters. I mean, we're not running out of dirt. My Gold IRA is looking more solid by the day when you see this kind of nonsense.

    3
    laura_sanchez💰Established (100-250k)Real Investor✓ Verifiedabout 1 month ago

    Honestly, I hear all this talk about tungsten and other industrial metals and I just shake my head. While everyone’s focused on the next supply chain hiccup, I’m over here in El Paso watching my gold stack grow, completely unbothered. Let them fix the "tungsten crunch"; I'll stick with the metal that's been a store of value for thousands of years, not just until the next mining boom or bust. The Learning Center here at Gold IRA Blueprint has some great articles on why that long-term stability matters more than chasing temporary commodity spikes, if you're ever curious.

    19
    james_wilson👑Elite (1m-5m)Real Investor✓ Verifiedabout 1 month ago

    What a laugh. "Can be fixed." Yeah, right. I remember back in '08, everyone was saying the housing market "could be fixed" if we just did X, Y, and Z. Meanwhile, I was looking at my portfolio from my office in Midtown, seeing numbers I didn't recognize, and thinking, *this* is the time to diversify. It was that feeling that pushed me into looking at physical assets for the first time. The tungsten situation, while not directly tied to gold, has the same underlying current – it’s a global supply chain vulnerability. People need to wake up before it hits their pocketbooks directly.

    9
    ronald_morris👑Elite (1m-5m)Real Investorabout 1 month ago

    Interesting thread. I'm relatively new to this whole Gold IRA game, still getting my feet wet after making the switch earlier this year. With all the chatter about supply chain issues affecting everything from microchips to the everyday items back here in Virginia Beach, it makes me wonder – how much do these industrial metals really influence the price of actual physical gold in the long run? Is it a direct correlation, or more of a background noise thing?

    12
    ruth_perez📊Growing (50-100k)about 1 month ago

    @Maria Campbell You're hitting on something I've been saying for years down here in Albuquerque. This whole "scarcity" narrative often feels suspiciously timed. I remember back in '08 when the fear factor was through the roof, and suddenly everyone was hawking gold at inflated premiums. It's why I always tell new investors to really dig into the actual supply/demand dynamics and not just react to the headlines. I bought my first 10k in physical gold back then and it was a tough lesson distinguishing real value from hype.

    19
    patricia_miller📊Growing (50-100k)✓ Verifiedabout 1 month ago

    Totally agree with this sentiment. I remember back in '08 when I first dipped my toes into precious metals – everyone was screaming about a silver crunch that never really materialized the way they predicted, and prices dipped for a while before the real run-up. It just goes to show you should always take these "supply crunch" headlines with a grain of salt and do your own due diligence. Always look at the long game.

    3
    joshua_phillips🏆Advanced (250-500k)Real Investor✓ Verifiedabout 1 month ago

    This thread title is interesting, but I'm looking at it sideways. While tungsten is critical, and a shortage would impact various industries, I'm not entirely convinced it'll translate to a direct, sustained gold price spike *because* of it. My take is that any 'fix' will likely be in the supply chain or substitutions, dampening a widespread fear premium. The real drivers for physical gold in my portfolio are still global instability and central bank actions, not a single industrial metal shortage.

    1
    janet_cook📊Growing (50-100k)about 1 month ago

    @Catherine Bell - I hear you on sticking to the tried and true. And for the bulk of my Gold IRA, that's exactly what I've done down here in Providence. However, I've always seen a small allocation to these "industrial plays" as a way to diversify a bit beyond just gold and silver's direct inflation hedge. While not a direct IRA asset, BMO weighing in on tungsten just makes me think there might be some underlying signals there that could indirectly impact the broader metals market. Could be worth watching, even if it's just from the sidelines for now.

    19
    sandra_green📊Growing (50-100k)✓ Verifiedabout 1 month ago

    Seriously, don't get sidetracked by tungsten futures. We're here for precious metals. Focus on the core mission: protecting your retirement from the kind of inflation I'm seeing at the QuikTrip out here in KC these days. Gold and silver are proven hedges; these niche industrial metals are speculation, not preservation.

    6
    donna_rogers🏆Advanced (250-500k)Real Investorabout 1 month ago

    This tungsten news has me thinking back to early 2020. I remember seeing all the supply chain news coming out of China and thinking, "Okay, this isn't just about toilet paper." I had about $300K in my portfolio at the time, mostly in growth stocks, and the volatility was giving me genuine heartburn here in Lexington. My financial advisor was completely useless, just telling me to "stay the course." That's when I really started looking into physical assets. I didn't want to get caught flat-footed like I did during the '08 crash. Ended up moving about 15% of my portfolio into a Gold IRA that year. I ended up using the Best Gold IRA Companies tool here on GIRAB and it really helped narrow down my options. Glad I did, because those specific supply chain issues actually pushed my decision forward.

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