Op-Ed: Copper rally masks smelting power shift
- •Hey everyone, just read this article on Mining.com about the copper market, specifically the smelting side.
- •As someone who's got a decent chunk of my retirement fund in materials, including some copper miners, this is a bit of a wrinkle.
- •I've always focused on the demand story, future electrification, that sort of thing.
Hey everyone, just read this article on Mining.com about the copper market, specifically the smelting side. It's an Op-Ed, but it brings up some interesting points I hadn't fully considered, especially with all the focus on copper demand and prices for EVs and green tech.
My initial reaction was, "Wait, so the rally we're seeing in copper isn't all sunshine and rainbows further down the supply chain?" The piece highlights how smelters are getting squeezed with collapsing fees and consolidation, even with strong copper demand. As someone who's got a decent chunk of my retirement fund in materials, including some copper miners, this is a bit of a wrinkle. I've always focused on the demand story, future electrification, that sort of thing. But if the midstream is under this much pressure, how sustainable are those upstream margins long-term, especially if smelters can dictate terms more and more? It makes me wonder if I should be looking more closely at the integrated players vs. pure-play miners.
What are your thoughts on this? Has anyone else been tracking this "smelting power shift"? It feels like one of those often-overlooked but critical aspects of the supply chain that could impact everyone from producers to end-users (and thus, our portfolios!) Has anyone seen this playing out in any specific company reports or investor calls? Let me know!