Goldman warns downside risk for copper, trims price target
- •They've nudged their base case down from $12,850 to $12,650 a ton.
- •It's not a huge cut, but it's Goldman, so it always catches my eye.
- •I've been pretty bullish on copper for a while, especially with all the electrification and green energy plays.
Hey everyone,
Just read this article from Mining.com about Goldman Sachs trimming their copper price target for 2026: https://www.mining.com/goldman-warns-downside-risk-for-copper-trims-price-target/. They've nudged their base case down from $12,850 to $12,650 a ton. It's not a huge cut, but it's Goldman, so it always catches my eye. I've been pretty bullish on copper for a while, especially with all the electrification and green energy plays. I've got some exposure in my portfolio through a couple of miners and a pure-play copper ETF, and I'm honestly still feeling good about the long-term prospects. This just feels like a minor blip, maybe some short-term market noise or a re-evaluation of demand curves. I remember back in 2020-2021 when everyone was calling for the end of the world, and copper just kept on chugging along.
My strategy has always been to ignore the daily fluctuations and focus on the bigger picture, especially when it comes to fundamental shifts like the move to EVs. My wife and I are planning our retirement for around 2035, so I'm really looking at a 10+ year horizon here. A couple hundred bucks off a 2026 target isn't really going to derail that. But it does make you pause and think, y'know? What specifically are they seeing that might cause this adjustment? Is it supply coming online faster than expected, or a more tempered global growth forecast?
What are your thoughts on this? Are any of you adjusting your positions based on this kind of news, or are you also holding steady on your copper bets? Keen to hear if anyone thinks this is a bigger deal than I'm making it out to be.