Consumer credit growth soars in December
- •I've often seen upticks in consumer spending lead to stronger corporate earnings, which obviously benefits my portfolio.
- •However, my gut (and years of watching these cycles) also says that excessive credit growth can be a red flag.
- •Are people relying on debt to maintain their lifestyle in the face of inflation?
Just read this article from MarketWatch about consumer credit growth soaring in December: https://www.marketwatch.com/story/consumer-credit-growth-soars-in-december-d405d18e?mod=mw_rss_marketpulse
Honestly, this gives me a bit of pause. On one hand, it could be a sign of consumer confidence, people feeling good enough about their job security and the economy to spend more, even if it's on credit. I've often seen upticks in consumer spending lead to stronger corporate earnings, which obviously benefits my portfolio. However, my gut (and years of watching these cycles) also says that excessive credit growth can be a red flag. Are people relying on debt to maintain their lifestyle in the face of inflation? That's what worries me, especially as we're still navigating higher interest rates. My wife and I are trying to be super disciplined with our budget right now, keeping an eye on our retirement goals, and seeing broad consumer credit jump like this just makes me wonder how sustainable this "growth" really is.
What are your thoughts on this? Are you seeing this as a positive sign for the market, or are you like me, a little wary? Curious to hear if anyone thinks this signals a coming pullback or if you're more optimistic about consumers' ability to manage this increased debt. Let me know what you're thinking!