Aluminum price surges to 4-year high on Bahrain force majeure
- •I remember back in '18, '19, when things were a lot flatter, and now this.
- •Goldman Sachs talking about $3,600 a tonne if a month's production is lost is a pretty wild number, even for them.
- •It makes me wonder if I should be re-evaluating my exposure to specific aluminum producers or ETFs that track the metal directly.
Hey everyone, just read this article about aluminum prices surging due to the Bahrain force majeure (https://www.mining.com/aluminum-price-surges-to-4-year-high-on-bahrain-force-majeure/). This definitely caught my eye because, as some of you know, I've had a small allocation in industrial metals in my diversified portfolio for a while now, looking for some long-term growth as infrastructure projects ramp up globally. I remember back in '18, '19, when things were a lot flatter, and now this. Goldman Sachs talking about $3,600 a tonne if a month's production is lost is a pretty wild number, even for them.
My initial thought is that while this is a short-term catalyst, it highlights the fragility of these supply chains and how quickly geopolitical or even regional incidents can impact commodities. It makes me wonder if I should be re-evaluating my exposure to specific aluminum producers or ETFs that track the metal directly. I'm typically a 'buy and hold' kind of guy, especially for things like my kids' college fund, but these kinds of shocks definitely warrant a closer look.
What are your thoughts on this? Are any of you directly invested in aluminum or other base metals that might be affected by these kinds of supply disruptions? Do you think this is a temporary spike, or is it indicative of a broader trend in metal pricing due to increasing demand and geopolitical instability? Always good to hear what the community is thinking on these kinds of developments!