Ukraine/Middle East...how are you guys playing this?

Mark Adams

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Ukraine/Middle East...how are you guys playing this?

mark_adams👑Elite (1m-5m)

about 2 months ago

Key Takeaways

•Honestly feeling a bit rattled this past week.
•I’ve always held a decent chunk of physical gold and some gold mining stocks – probably around 8% of my total 7-figure portfolio.
•My primary reasoning, beyond just inflation hedging, has always been for geopolitical instability, and it feels like we're in it now more than ever.

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Honestly feeling a bit rattled this past week. Watching the news out of Ukraine, and now with the situation in the Middle East escalating, it's making me seriously re-evaluate my portfolio's exposure. I’ve always held a decent chunk of physical gold and some gold mining stocks – probably around 8% of my total 7-figure portfolio. My primary reasoning, beyond just inflation hedging, has always been for geopolitical instability, and it feels like we're in it now more than ever.

I’m a hedge fund guy here in Greenwich, so I see a lot of smart money making moves. Thing is, everyone has their own flavor of "smart." My personal allocation in gold, a mix of Krugerrands and Canadian Maples in a secure vault, along with some GLD and IAU for liquidity, has performed well over the past 18 months. But looking at the charts, it feels like gold should be doing even better given the sheer absurdity of the global landscape. Am I missing something? Is it a lag effect, or are other factors suppressing it?

I’ve been eyeing adding more, specifically considering a larger allocation to a Gold IRA for the tax benefits, but I'm hesitant to jump in at what feels like an already elevated price point. My gut says tensions aren't going to de-escalate anytime soon, making gold a no-brainer here. But my head, always looking for a discounted entry, is screaming caution. What’s your take on current geopolitical events and how they’re realistically impacting gold prices in the short to medium term? Are you seeing the same disconnect, or do you think the current price accurately reflects the risk?

Also, for those who manage larger gold allocations – are you making any tactical shifts based on the current global climate? Thinking about moving some of my GLD into more direct physical, but then I lose that daily liquidity I value. Just curious how others are navigating these choppy waters. My wife thinks I’m obsessing, but it’s hard not to when geopolitical risk reaches this level.

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5 comments

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Best Answer▲ 9 upvotes

sharon_evans💰Established (100-250k)

Hey, I get the anxiety, it's definitely a wild ride out there. But 8% in gold and miners, even with everything going on, feels pretty conservative to me if your main concern is geopolitical risk. I'm personally looking to increase my metals exposure, not just maintaining. Historically, these kinds of global shake-ups are exactly when gold shines the brightest. Just something to consider!

Comments (5)

charles_lewis💎Premium (500k-1m)Real Investor•about 2 months ago

Totally get where you're coming from. My stomach is in knots watching the news too. Had a similar feeling back in 2020 when everything went sideways – that's when I first really started building out my gold position. It just feels like a safer haven when the world feels like it's on fire, you know?

janet_cook📊Growing (50-100k)•about 2 months ago

Totally get the rattled feeling, it's a lot to process. When you say "8% of your overall portfolio", is that specifically for the physical gold, or does that 8% include the gold mining stocks as well?

sharon_evans💰Established (100-250k)Real Investor•about 2 months ago

Hey, I get the anxiety, it's definitely a wild ride out there. But 8% in gold and miners, even with *everything* going on, feels pretty conservative to me if your main concern is geopolitical risk. I'm personally looking to increase my metals exposure, not just maintaining. Historically, these kinds of global shake-ups are exactly when gold shines the brightest. Just something to consider!

carol_carter💰Established (100-250k)Real Investor•about 2 months ago

Hey, totally understandable to feel rattled with everything going on. It's a crazy world out there right now.

One thing I've found super helpful in times like these is to revisit my overall asset allocation. Not just for gold, but for everything. A good resource for understanding different strategies during volatile periods, especially how gold plays a role, is frequently updated by the World Gold Council. They often have good analysis on how global events impact gold's performance and provide data-driven insights. It might help you fine-tune that 8% or just give you some peace of mind.

elizabeth_johnson💰Established (100-250k)Real Investor✓ Verified•about 2 months ago

Totally get where you're coming from. I've been feeling the same way, especially with the Middle East situation flaring up again. My gold/precious metals allocation used to be closer to 5%, but I actually bumped it up to about 10% earlier this year after the Ukraine invasion really kicked off. Good to know I'm not the only one thinking along these lines.

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