Thinking about how quickly things can change - gold vs
- •Been seeing a few posts lately about market timing, and it got me thinking about my own journey.
- •The conventional advice was obviously to dump it all into the S&P 500, maybe some real estate, diversify, blah blah blah.
- •But something in my gut just said "gold." My old business partner, bless his heart, thought I was insane.
Been seeing a few posts lately about market timing, and it got me thinking about my own journey. I liquidated a good chunk of my tech company a few years back – like, enough to put me well into the 7-figure range, comfortably over $3M after taxes and all the dust settled. The conventional advice was obviously to dump it all into the S&P 500, maybe some real estate, diversify, blah blah blah. But something in my gut just said "gold."
My old business partner, bless his heart, thought I was insane. "You're trying to time the market, dude! It never works!" he'd scoff every time we met for coffee in Dublin. Maybe he was right on some level, but for me, it wasn’t about timing the market perfectly. It was about de-risking my entire financial future after busting my ass for 15 years to build that company. I saw the writing on the wall with inflation heating up, geopolitical instability flaring, and just a general feeling of unease in the air. I bought a significant amount of physical gold – held directly in an IRA, which was a whole learning curve in itself.
Fast forward to now, and yeah, the S&P has had a few good runs, but then BAM, you get hit with corrections, interest rate hikes, banking scares. Meanwhile, my gold has been a rock. It hasn't given me the crazy hockey-stick growth of some tech stocks, but it’s preserved my capital through some genuinely turbulent times. It gives me incredible peace of mind living here in Ohio, knowing that a significant portion of my wealth isn't directly tied to the whims of quarterly earnings calls or geopolitical Tweets. I sleep a lot better.
So, is it market timing if you're making a strategic, long-term shift based on fundamental beliefs about economic stability and currency debasement, rather than trying to perfectly predict daily swings? I'd argue not. It’s a foundational change to your portfolio's core. Plus, looking ahead, I'm already thinking about those RMDs. I found this cool RMD Calculator online and it’s been super helpful for planning out how I'll eventually take distributions without getting hammered. Anyway, what are you all's thoughts on this? Did any of you make similar moves that felt like "timing" but was really more about fundamental shifts?