Silver's industrial demand - is it priced in?
- •With all the talk about electrification, solar, EVs, and whatnot, it feels like industrial demand for silver is only going to skyrocket.
- •We're talking substantial increases in usage for things that are pretty foundational to our future infrastructure.
- •And yet, silver's price action often seems to lag behind gold, or at least it doesn't always reflect this impending surge in demand.
I was reviewing my precious metals allocation this morning and got to thinking about silver, specifically its dual nature as both a monetary metal and an industrial commodity. With all the talk about electrification, solar, EVs, and whatnot, it feels like industrial demand for silver is only going to skyrocket. We're talking substantial increases in usage for things that are pretty foundational to our future infrastructure. And yet, silver's price action often seems to lag behind gold, or at least it doesn't always reflect this impending surge in demand.
My portfolio is fairly diversified, with a decent chunk in physical gold and silver, mostly for wealth preservation and as a hedge. I've been holding some silver Eagles and Maples for a while now, slowly accumulating since I retired from the Navy back in 2018. My thinking has always been that the Gold/Silver ratio would eventually normalize more in silver's favor, especially with the industrial story playing out. But sometimes I wonder if the market is truly pricing in this massive industrial appetite that's coming down the pike. Or is it one of those slow-burn trends that the mainstream financial world only really catches onto once it's already well underway?
I typically take a long-term view with my investments – honed that discipline over 30 years of service, commanding various fleets. I'm not looking to day-trade silver, but I do want to make sure my allocation reflects the underlying fundamentals. For those of you who focus more on silver's industrial side, what are your thoughts? Are we underestimating the sheer volume of silver these new technologies will require? And more importantly, how do you see that demand impacting spot prices over the next 5-10 years? Are any of you adjusting your silver holdings based on these industrial projections, perhaps favoring physical over mining stocks, or vice-versa? Just looking for some good, solid discussion from informed investors.