Silver's Industrial Demand - What Are We Missing?
- •With the push for solar, EVs, and all sorts of fancy electronics, you’d think silver would be screaming upwards given its essential role.
- •I mean, analysts are constantly revising their forecasts for renewable energy growth.
- •If even half of that comes to fruition, the sheer volume of silver needed for photovoltaics alone is immense.
Been thinking a lot lately about how the industrial side of silver plays into its price, especially with all the talk about green tech and electrification. I’ve held a pretty steady allocation in silver for years (my metals weighting is comfortably over 30% of my portfolio), and while the safe-haven aspect is evergreen, it feels like the industrial demand is often a bit of an afterthought in retail discussions. With the push for solar, EVs, and all sorts of fancy electronics, you’d think silver would be screaming upwards given its essential role.
I mean, analysts are constantly revising their forecasts for renewable energy growth. If even half of that comes to fruition, the sheer volume of silver needed for photovoltaics alone is immense. Then you've got automotive, 5G infrastructure, medical... it just keeps piling up. As someone who sat on a trading desk downtown for decades, I’m used to seeing supply/demand dynamics play out a little more... dramatically. Are the projections for industrial use overblown? Or is the supply side just able to keep pace far better than we realize, suppressing prices?
My concern, looking out a few years, is whether the market is truly pricing in this increasing industrial consumption. With inflation still a nagging worry even here in NYC, and the dollar’s long-term trajectory always a question mark, silver should theoretically be a no-brainer. But it’s not exactly rocket ship material. Anyone else feeling this disconnect? Are we, as investors, underestimating the ability of miners to ramp up production to meet this demand, or is the future industrial supercycle for silver still just around the corner, waiting for that tipping point?