Seriously, what's everyone's take on the Fed and our gold?
- •Okay, so I've been seeing a lot of chatter lately about how the Fed's decisions are going to hit gold, especially with all the inflation talk.
- •As a military retiree here in San Diego, financial security is pretty much my number one priority.
- •I've got a decent chunk, around $350k, in my IRA, with a significant amount of that in gold and some silver bars.
Okay, so I've been seeing a lot of chatter lately about how the Fed's decisions are going to hit gold, especially with all the inflation talk. As a military retiree here in San Diego, financial security is pretty much my number one priority. I've got a decent chunk, around $350k, in my IRA, with a significant amount of that in gold and some silver bars. I picked up a good bit of that silver back when it was a bit lower, maybe around $23-$25. The conventional wisdom has always been that gold does well when the dollar is weak and inflation is high, acting as a hedge. But then you hear arguments that if the Fed gets aggressive with rate hikes, it could strengthen the dollar, making gold less attractive to international buyers, thereby putting downward pressure on its price.
It's a bit of a head-scratcher because on one hand, I’m seeing food prices at Ralphs and gas prices climbing to the moon here in Southern California, which screams inflation. My gut tells me gold should be soaring. On the other hand, the Fed’s signals are so mixed sometimes it feels like they’re trying to navigate a ship in a hurricane with a blindfold on. I specifically moved into tangible assets like gold and silver because I don't trust fiat currency over the long haul, especially with the amount of money printing we've seen. My hope was always that this part of my portfolio would be a rock when everything else was shaky.
So, for those of you who are deeper into the macroeconomic weeds, how do you see this playing out? Are we looking at a scenario where the Fed has to hike rates hard to fight inflation, which potentially cools down gold, or is the inherent inflation so strong that gold will continue its upward trend regardless? I’m particularly wondering about the impact on silver specifically. I'm not looking to move anything right now, but I always want to be informed. What's the sentiment out there among other precious metals investors?