Rebalancing - Time to Trim Some Gold?
- •Been thinking a lot about portfolio rebalancing lately, especially with the gold run-up we've had.
- •It’s paid off handsomely, no complaints there.
- •My original allocation for gold was around 15-20% of my total investable assets.
Been thinking a lot about portfolio rebalancing lately, especially with the gold run-up we've had. For context, I'm a retired energy guy out of Houston, and my portfolio is somewhere between $1M-$5M, a good portion of which is in physical gold and a Gold IRA. I started building these positions pretty aggressively back around 2010-2012 when everyone thought the world was ending, and then again during some of the dips since. It’s paid off handsomely, no complaints there.
My original allocation for gold was around 15-20% of my total investable assets. I always saw it as a long-term hedge, something for stability against inflation and market volatility. Well, with gold where it is now, that percentage has ballooned significantly. I haven't run the exact numbers in the last month, but it’s definitely north of 30%, maybe even pushing 35% when you factor in my physical holdings in the home safe. Part of me is loving it, seeing that shine, but the other part is starting to get that nagging feeling that it’s getting a little heavy.
I know the standard advice is to trim back to target allocations when things get out of whack, but selling gold feels… different. It’s not like selling off some over-performing tech stock. There's an emotional attachment there, almost like selling a piece of history. Plus, with the way global economies are looking, central banks still printing money, and geopolitical tensions, isn't having more gold actually a smarter play right now, even if it’s overweight?
So, I’m curious, for those of you with similar allocations or experience, what triggers your decision to rebalance out of gold? Do you have an absolute ceiling percentage you won't go beyond, or do market conditions overrule your target allocations sometimes? Thinking about putting some of the proceeds into real estate or maybe some dividend-paying value stocks, but I’d appreciate any thoughts from this community. When does "diversification" trump "don't sell your winners"?