Rebalancing - Ditch the miners, go bullion? Or play the
- •Alright, so I’ve been looking at my portfolio lately, and honestly, a few of the gold mining stocks are making me scratch my head.
- •The issue is, some of these miners just aren’t keeping pace with the spot price anymore.
- •It’s like they’re stuck in the mud.
Alright, so I’ve been looking at my portfolio lately, and honestly, a few of the gold mining stocks are making me scratch my head. I’ve been in the gold game for close to 15 years now, started really leaning into it after the '08 crash, and my Gold IRA is hovering nicely around the $750k mark. Most of that is still in physical gold, which I sleep soundly on, but a good chunk (maybe 15-20%) is in some of the bigger gold miners and a few junior explorers I took a punt on years ago.
The issue is, some of these miners just aren’t keeping pace with the spot price anymore. It’s like they’re stuck in the mud. I remember when Barrick and Newmont used to track things pretty closely, but with all the geopolitical crap and production costs, it feels like their leverage to gold prices isn't what it used to be. I’m an old oil dog from Dallas, seen plenty of commodity cycles, and this just feels different. Part of me wants to just dump the lot, eat the capital gains (ouch, but whatever), and roll that cash straight into more physical bullion or maybe a gold ETF that tracks the metal itself, not the companies digging it up.
Then another part of me thinks, "Hold on, you bought these for a reason. Don't be impatient." The long-term thesis for gold still holds strong for me – inflation, de-dollarization, you name it. Are these mining companies just lagging and will catch up, or is this a fundamental shift in how they perform relative to the metal? Anyone else in a similar boat with their mining stock allocation feeling this way? Should I just bite the bullet, simplify, and go more heavily into physical, or is there a strong argument for playing the very long game with these mining operations?