My current outlook on gold – and what I'm doing

Andrew Roberts

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My current outlook on gold – and what I'm doing

andrew_roberts👑Elite (1m-5m)

about 2 months ago

Key Takeaways

•The recent dip in gold, honestly, is giving me a bit of whiplash.
•After such a strong run, seeing it pullback and consolidate around these levels has me watching the charts more closely than I have in a while.
•My core belief remains that gold is the ultimate insurance policy.

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The recent dip in gold, honestly, is giving me a bit of whiplash. After such a strong run, seeing it pullback and consolidate around these levels has me watching the charts more closely than I have in a while. I’ve been heavily allocated to physical metals for years now, probably close to 15-20% of my overall portfolio (which, for context, is comfortably in the 7-figure range, mostly retirement funds). Being retired down here in Palm Beach, I’ve got the time to really scrutinize the macro picture, and the signals are still pointing towards continued geopolitical instability and inflation pressures, even if central banks are trying to talk a different game.

My core belief remains that gold is the ultimate insurance policy. When I started truly diversifying into it back in the early 2000s, it felt like a contrarian move. Now, with global debt skyrocketing and currencies being devalued at an alarming rate, it feels almost mainstream. I remember my old CFO telling me I was crazy to "bury money in the ground" – funnily enough, he's the one texting me now asking about good gold IRA custodians.

So, what's my play? I'm not selling a single ounce. In fact, I'm using this consolidation as an opportunity. I’ve been slowly building up a cash reserve from some bond maturities and a few stock sales that hit my profit targets, and I’m looking to deploy a significant chunk of it (we’re talking somewhere in the low to mid six-figures) if we see gold test some stronger support levels. I’m thinking around that $2,250-$2,300 mark could present a really attractive entry point for adding more. I'm primarily focused on physical gold, both within my Gold IRA and some direct holdings, but I do dabble in a few of the more established bullion ETFs for liquidity.

I’m curious to hear what others are thinking. Are you taking profits? Holding steady? Or, like me, looking for opportunities to add to your stack during this current price action? Specifically, for those with substantial holdings, how are you balancing direct physical ownership versus something like GLD or IAU for your overall allocation?

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7 comments

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Best Answer▲ 14 upvotes

timothy_reed💎Premium (500k-1m)

My advisor told me 10-15% in gold is the sweet spot but I went heavier. We'll see how it plays out.

Comments (7)

donald_nelson💎Premium (500k-1m)Real Investor✓ Verified•about 2 months ago

Totally feel this. I've been in a similar boat, watching the charts like a hawk. Had a decent chunk in physical too, and that dip definitely made me clench a little. But honestly, it's also presented an opportunity to average down a bit on some silver I've been eyeing. Good luck with your strategy!

linda_taylor📊Growing (50-100k)✓ Verified•about 2 months ago

Interesting take. When you say "consolidate around these levels," are you leaning more towards a belief that we're seeing a healthy correction before another upward movement, or are you preparing for it to potentially dip further before finding a new floor?

ashley_baker💼Starter (0-50k)✓ Verified•about 2 months ago

I get where you're coming from with the whiplash, but a 15-20% allocation feels pretty conservative for someone so engaged in physical metals. Especially with the current economic uncertainties, I'm finding myself leaning *into* these dips as opportunities to increase my stack, not just watch it. Are you feeling like these dips are more a warning sign than a buying opportunity?

linda_taylor📊Growing (50-100k)✓ Verified•about 2 months ago

Totally get the whiplash feeling! It's a bumpy ride kadang-kadang. Since you're heavily allocated to physical, have you looked into the tax implications of selling any down the line? It's often overlooked, but knowing those capital gains rules for collectibles in advance can save some surprises. Here's a decent overview I found: How Is Gold Taxed?