Market timing with silver bars - my experience (and a
- •Been seeing a lot of chatter lately about timing the market, especially with gold and silver.
- •Seems similar with commodities, though not quite as volatile maybe.
- •My strategy from the start, going back about 8 years when I first set up my Gold IRA, was to dollar-cost average into silver.
Been seeing a lot of chatter lately about timing the market, especially with gold and silver. I've got a decent chunk of my IRA in physical silver bars – probably around $150k worth at current prices, so I’m definitely invested in how this stuff performs. I’ve been in the dairy game my whole life here in Wisconsin, and one thing you learn quick is that you can’t predict the weather or milk prices, no matter how much you want to. Seems similar with commodities, though not quite as volatile maybe.
My strategy from the start, going back about 8 years when I first set up my Gold IRA, was to dollar-cost average into silver. I'd set aside a certain amount every few months and buy, regardless of whether silver was up or down that week. Figure it smoothed out the bumps over time. Honestly, I haven’t tried to play the peaks and valleys. I just bought when I had the cash available to roll over from my old 401k or other accounts. It’s a retirement play for me, not a get-rich-quick scheme. I'm 58 now and planning to start taking distributions in the next 5-7 years, so it's getting more real.
The recent run-up in silver has been pretty sweet, though. I'm seeing gains that make me think twice about whether I should have tried to dump a bigger load in when it was lower, or if I should be thinking about taking some profit now. But then I hear all the arguments about how people who try to time it usually lose out in the long run. My gut, probably from years of just grinding it out on the farm, says stick to the plan. Just keep holding. What do you all think?
Has anyone here successfully timed their physical silver purchases or sales? Or is it really just a fool's errand, like most financial advisors say? Curious to hear from folks who've actually tried it with their retirement precious metals, not just theoretical stuff.