Is anyone actually timing the market with silver, or is

Brian Edwards

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Is anyone actually timing the market with silver, or is

brian_edwards🌟Ultra (5m+)

about 2 months ago

Key Takeaways

•Been seeing a lot of chatter lately about trying to time the market, especially with precious metals.
•Honestly, my initial jump into gold and silver back in '08 was purely a hedge against the financial meltdown.
•It wasn't about trying to buy low and sell high on a quarterly basis, it was about protecting what I had built in Aspen.

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Been seeing a lot of chatter lately about trying to time the market, especially with precious metals. Honestly, my initial jump into gold and silver back in '08 was purely a hedge against the financial meltdown. I dumped a decent chunk of my real estate profits into it – probably around $2M in physical gold then, and added another $500k in silver a few years later. It wasn't about trying to buy low and sell high on a quarterly basis, it was about protecting what I had built in Aspen. Felt like the entire financial system was going to implode.

Now, I'm sitting on a portfolio well north of $5M in metals, and I've been eyeing some more silver. The discussion about "timing" has me curious, though. Are folks here actually trying to predict the dips and peaks with their silver bars? Or is it more of a "buy when you can, hold for the long haul" kind of strategy? With my other investments, I'm certainly looking for opportunities, but with metals, it's always felt different. A more fundamental, bedrock kind of asset. I've got enough on my plate with development projects to be glued to charts all day.

My silver holdings are primarily in 100oz bars, stored with a custodian down in Denver. The idea of liquidating and re-buying based on short-term fluctuations just seems like a pain in the ass and potentially costly with transaction fees. I know some people are day trading crypto like it's going out of style, but silver feels a bit more... static. So, for those of you with significant silver allocations, is market timing even a serious consideration? Or are you, like me, mostly viewing it as a long-term wealth preservation play against inflation and economic uncertainty?

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4 comments

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Best Answer▲ 9 upvotes

richard_garcia👑Elite (1m-5m)

Totally get it. Back in the early 2000s, I picked up a bunch of silver Eagles because I just liked the idea of having some physical wealth outside of banks. No market timing whatsoever, just a gut feeling. Ended up being a pretty sweet long-term hold, that's for sure. Now it's mostly set-it-and-forget-it for me.

Comments (4)

richard_garcia👑Elite (1m-5m)Real Investor•about 2 months ago

gary_stewart📊Growing (50-100k)•about 2 months ago

Hey, interesting post! When you say you dumped "a decent chunk of your real estate profits into it," did you mean physical silver too, or was that primarily gold? Just curious about the breakdown of your '08 allocation.

daniel_wright💎Premium (500k-1m)Real Investor✓ Verified•about 2 months ago

Interesting take. I kinda feel like trying to "time the market" with silver (or gold, for that matter) is a bit of a fool's errand for most retail investors. Like, unless you're a full-time professional trader with access to insane data and algorithms, you're probably just guessing.

For me, it's always been about the long-term hedge, similar to your '08 experience. Trying to catch the peaks and valleys with a few hundred or thousand ounces seems more like gambling than investing, and I'd rather just stack and forget, personally.

ruth_perez📊Growing (50-100k)•about 2 months ago

That's a great question, and honestly, for most people, silver (and gold) is definitely a longer-term hold. Trying to time the market is incredibly difficult, even for seasoned pros. The volatility can be wild, and transaction costs can eat into any potential short-term gains.

If you're looking for strategies beyond just buying and holding, it might be worth researching "dollar-cost averaging" for precious metals. It's not about timing the market, but rather mitigating risk by investing a fixed amount regularly, regardless of price fluctuations. There are some good articles and explainers out there if you search for it!

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