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    Gold moving on rate hikes? Thoughts on my strategy.

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    Key Takeaways
    • Watching the Fed today felt like reliving a tactical brief, albeit with less classified intel and more economic jargon.
    • Part of me, the Admiral that drilled on economic stability during deployments, understands the rationale.
    • It’s been a bedrock for me, especially since retiring from the Navy and diversifying out of just standard equities and bonds.
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    Watching the Fed today felt like reliving a tactical brief, albeit with less classified intel and more economic jargon. Another rate hike. Part of me, the Admiral that drilled on economic stability during deployments, understands the rationale. The other part, the investor who’s been through a few downturns now, is just wondering how much more tightening this economy can take before something really breaks. I've got a decent chunk, probably 15% of my overall 7-figure portfolio, tied up in physical gold and some mining stocks, mostly the bigger, more established players. It’s been a bedrock for me, especially since retiring from the Navy and diversifying out of just standard equities and bonds.

    My gold coins, a solid mix of Eagles and Buffalos primarily held in an authorized depository, haven't exactly shot the lights out lately, but they haven't cratered either. It's the stability I signed up for, especially with inflation still being a sticky wicket, even if the Fed wants us to believe otherwise. I’ve always viewed gold as my ultimate insurance policy – a hedge against the kind of systemic risks you just can’t predict. Think back to '08, or even during some of the geopolitical volatility we’ve seen in the past few years. It’s been comforting to know I’ve got that physical asset sitting there, uncorrelated to much of the market noise.

    What are others thinking about gold’s performance given these persistent rate increases? Are we seeing a temporary drag, or is this the new normal where higher rates consistently outweigh gold's safe-haven appeal? I’m based out of Virginia Beach, and frankly, local advisors often push more towards REITs or municipal bonds for income. I’m secure income-wise, so capital preservation is more my game. I’m considering adding a bit more to my gold holdings, maybe another 5% of my portfolio if there's a dip, but I’m curious if anyone else is seeing a bigger picture I might be missing. Is the opportunity cost of holding gold too high right now with bond yields where they are? Always learning, even after a long career.

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    Best Answer▲ 8 upvotes
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    thomas_walker🏆Advanced (250-500k)

    Hey, interesting analogy with the Admiral! I'm curious about the "economic stability during deployments" part of your experience. Could you elaborate a bit on what that entailed? Sounds like a unique perspective to bring to investing.

    Comments (5)

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    helen_turner💰Established (100-250k)Real Investorless than a minute ago

    Totally get what you're saying about revisiting the economic stability drills, ha. I had a similar feeling last year when I started looking into a gold IRA. My 401k took a bit of a hit a while back, and it really made me re-evaluate my whole "diversification" strategy. Felt like I was just blindly following the herd instead of proactively protecting against inflation and market volatility. Anyway, started moving some of my retirement funds into gold after that. It's been a slow burn, but definitely gives me some peace of mind with all the Fed theatrics.

    8
    thomas_walker🏆Advanced (250-500k)Real Investor✓ Verifiedless than a minute ago

    Hey, interesting analogy with the Admiral! I'm curious about the "economic stability during deployments" part of your experience. Could you elaborate a bit on what that entailed? Sounds like a unique perspective to bring to investing.

    1
    ashley_baker💼Starter (0-50k)✓ Verifiedless than a minute ago

    Interesting take. I can see why you'd link the two, but I'm not entirely convinced gold's movements are as directly tied to rate hikes as some people think, at least not in the short term. There are so many other factors at play, like geopolitical stuff and general market sentiment that can override those Fed decisions. Sometimes it feels like the market just *finds* a reason to move, and the rate hike is just the convenient narrative for that day.

    I mean, if it were that predictable, we'd all be rich, right? Always good to have a strategy, but maybe don't get too tunnel-visioned on just one variable. Just my two cents.

    6
    joshua_phillips🏆Advanced (250-500k)Real Investor✓ Verifiedless than a minute ago

    Hey, interesting take on the Fed! You're right, it's a bit of a dance with gold and rate hikes. Generally, higher rates can make non-yielding assets like gold less attractive since bonds start looking better. But on the flip side, if those rate hikes lead to economic uncertainty or a recession, gold often shines as a safe haven. It's all about navigating those countercurrents.

    You might find this piece from the World Gold Council helpful for a deeper dive into how gold performs in different interest rate environments: Gold and interest rates: What's the link? They've got some good historical data to back it up. Good luck with your strategy!

    1
    robert_thompson💰Established (100-250k)Real Investor✓ Verifiedless than a minute ago

    Spot on with the Fed observation. It's like watching a rerun sometimes, but with real money on the line. I'm with you on the gold front too; I've scaled back some of my more speculative plays and increased my gold allocation over the last six months. It just feels like a safer haven when things get this squirrely with rates.

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