Geopolitics and gold - My two cents

Andrew Roberts

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Geopolitics and gold - My two cents

andrew_roberts👑Elite (1m-5m)

about 2 months ago

Key Takeaways

•Watching the news lately, it’s hard not to connect the dots straight to gold prices.
•We’re talking about an entirely different level of global instability compared to even a few years ago.
•I’m particularly eyeing the ripple effects of the ongoing conflicts, not just in Europe but also the brewing tensions in the Pacific.

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Watching the news lately, it’s hard not to connect the dots straight to gold prices. I’ve held a substantial allocation in precious metals for decades now, and frankly, the current geopolitical climate is making my old instincts tingle. We’re talking about an entirely different level of global instability compared to even a few years ago. My wife keeps saying I worry too much, but when you've managed a multi-million dollar company through a few recessions, you learn to trust your gut when it comes to risk.

I’m particularly eyeing the ripple effects of the ongoing conflicts, not just in Europe but also the brewing tensions in the Pacific. It’s not just about direct impact; it’s the uncertainty, the potential for supply chain disruptions, and frankly, the general anxiety that drives people towards safe-haven assets. I mean, my own portfolio, which is north of $3 million, has seen a decent uptick from my gold holdings recently, and I attribute a good chunk of that to these global jitters. It’s not an "I told you so" moment, just a quiet confirmation of what history consistently shows.

What are others seeing out there? Are you proactively adjusting your allocations based on these factors? Personally, I’ve been sitting on my current allocation, but I’m always evaluating. It also reminds me that with things potentially getting more volatile, it's a good time to ensure all my ducks are in a row, especially as I approach those RMD years. Speaking of, I was just looking at that RMD Calculator (rmdcalculator.goldirablueprint.com) the other day to estimate my required minimum distributions from my Gold IRA – always good to have that foresight. Does anyone else feel like global events are putting a stronger spotlight on the importance of truly diversified, tangible assets?

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5 comments

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Best Answer▲ 15 upvotes

robert_thompson💰Established (100-250k)

Interesting insights here on the geopolitical angle. I've always leaned more towards the inflation hedge aspect for holding gold, rather than purely geopolitical instability driving my decisions. My portfolio, around $180k in a Gold IRA, definitely saw more growth during the recent inflation spikes in '22 and early '23 than during any specific international incident. I mean, here in Phoenix, the cost of everything just keeps climbing. While global events are a factor, I see it more as a symptom of underlying economic pressures that gold tends to react to, rather than the primary driver itself.

Comments (5)

laura_sanchez💰Established (100-250k)Real Investor✓ Verified•about 2 months ago

Totally get what you're saying! I've been feeling this too. It's like a weird deja vu for me. My dad actually convinced me to put a small chunk into gold back in the early 2000s, mostly because of some global shakiness then. He'd always say gold was the ultimate "insurance policy." Lo and behold, that advice has paid off more than once, and now with everything going on, I'm definitely eyeing adding a bit more.

paul_hill🏆Advanced (250-500k)Real Investor✓ Verified•about 2 months ago

Interesting take. You mentioned a "substantial allocation" – are we talking just gold, or do you include other precious metals like silver or platinum in that allocation? Curious what your strategy has been there for decades.

thomas_walker🏆Advanced (250-500k)Real Investor✓ Verified•about 2 months ago

Interesting take. While I agree geopolitical instability often pushes people to safe havens, I think it's a bit simplistic to directly equate *every* geopolitical tremor with a guaranteed gold surge. Sometimes, bigger economic factors, like interest rate hikes or a strong dollar, can counteract that safe-haven demand, even in turbulent times. It's not always a straight line up.

robert_thompson💰Established (100-250k)Real Investor✓ Verified•about 2 months ago

margaret_chen🏆Advanced (250-500k)Real Investor•about 2 months ago

This is a solid take. I’ve been eyeing the geopolitical shifts in East Asia specifically, and wondering how much of that is already baked into current gold prices. Given all the noise around decoupling and supply chain reshuffling, are we talking about a sustained upward trend, or is this just another volatility spike we should be prepared to dollar-cost average through?

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