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    When Spot Prices Surge, Did Dealers Get Rich?

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    Key Takeaways
    • Hey everyone, just read this article: When Spot Prices Surge, Did Dealers Get Rich?
    • and it really hit home.
    • It's easy to look at a rising market and think everyone involved is just printing money.
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    Hey everyone, just read this article: When Spot Prices Surge, Did Dealers Get Rich? and it really hit home. The author talks about how people assume dealers get "filthy rich" when spot prices jump, and honestly, that's a sentiment I've probably held myself in the past. It's easy to look at a rising market and think everyone involved is just printing money. But the point about holding inventory, managing risk, and the spread being a key factor really makes a lot of sense when you think about it from a business perspective.

    I remember back in 2011, when silver was really taking off, I was trying to offload some of my older rounds to diversify, and the premiums I was seeing on new purchases were wild. It felt like dealers were just tacking on whatever they wanted. This article reminds me that there's more at play than just a simple markup. They're absorbing a lot of the volatility we, as individual investors, are trying to leverage. It's a risk they take holding that inventory, especially when trying to maintain competitive pricing for both buyers and sellers. It’s a good reminder not to just assume everyone on the other side of the transaction is raking it in hand over fist, especially not without understanding their cost structure.

    What do you all think? Has anyone here ever worked in or known someone in the precious metals dealing business that can corroborate this view, or offer a different perspective? I'm always looking for ways to better understand the market dynamics, especially as I continue to build out my retirement portfolio and try to make smart, long-term decisions for my family.

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    Best Answer▲ 18 upvotes
    F
    frank_rivera💎Premium (500k-1m)
    Alright, this topic hits close to home. I remember back in early 2020, before the global madness really kicked in, I was looking to add a few more American Gold Eagles to my Gold IRA. Spot price was hovering around $1500-$1600. I called my usual dealer – a smaller operation I've used for years. He quoted me a premium that, at the time, felt a little steep, maybe 4-5% over spot. I thought, "Eh, it's a long-term hold, whatever." Then, literally a month later, as the world locked down, spot shot up like a rocket, well over $1700, then $1800, and trying to buy Eagles was like finding a unicorn. That same dealer, bless his heart, told me his premiums had jumped to 8-10%, sometimes more if you wanted specific dates. He wasn't gouging; he genuinely couldn't get consistent supply from his wholesalers without paying crazy prices himself. So yeah, they definitely got richer on the inventory they already had, but the immediate sourcing was a nightmare for them too. It really highlighted how supply

    Comments (30)

    11
    michelle_collins🏆Advanced (250-500k)Real Investorabout 1 month ago

    Reading this, it makes me wonder about the timing of my own move. I finally pulled the trigger on rolling over about $300k of my old 401k into a Gold IRA earlier this year, right before that big run-up in April. My contact at Augusta Precious Metals was pretty helpful, but I'm still trying to figure out if I landed a decent deal or if I effectively paid a "surge premium" right out of the gate. Anyone else here feel like they jumped in right before a big price hike and then started questioning the dealer margins?

    9
    gary_stewart📊Growing (50-100k)about 1 month ago

    This is something I've been wondering about since I started my Gold IRA last year. I put about $75k into it from my old 401k, and with all the talk about premiums, it makes me a bit nervous. Are we saying the dealers are just massively inflating prices beyond the actual market value even when spot goes up, or is it more nuanced than that? From what I've seen in Fresno, the local coin shops all seem to have slightly different pricing, which adds to the confusion.

    9
    dorothy_lopez💰Established (100-250k)Real Investorabout 1 month ago

    Absolutely they do. Look, when spot prices jump like they did in 2020 or even last year, the dealers aren't just passing on the exact new price to you, they're baking in a fatter premium because they know demand is through the roof. I remember trying to pick up another 10 oz bar for my Gold IRA in early 2023, and the spread I was quoted from one outfit here in Vegas felt like a highway robbery – almost double what I'd paid for a similar bar six months earlier, even accounting for the spot rise. They know you're FOMO-ing.

    13
    jason_morgan💰Established (100-250k)Real Investor✓ Verifiedabout 1 month ago

    It always stung a little bit, didn't it? I remember 2020 like it was yesterday – watching the spot price rocket up while my own portfolio, which isn't huge, maybe $150k in gold now, felt like it was playing catch-up. I'd bought some American Gold Eagles a year prior, thinking I was clever, only to see the premiums skyrocket when everyone else piled in. Felt like the dealers were celebrating Thanksgiving AND Christmas all at once down here in Jacksonville while I was just… watching. Made me seriously rethink my buying strategy.

    11
    catherine_bell🏆Advanced (250-500k)Real Investorabout 1 month ago

    Definitely felt that surge a few years back. My initial thought was "great, more money for storage fees and premiums." But I used the IRA Calculator at the top of the page around then and was actually surprised by the projections showing that even with the higher prices, the long-term gains still made the fees look pretty small in comparison. It helped me keep focused.

    4
    susan_clark💰Established (100-250k)Real Investorabout 1 month ago

    This is something I've been wondering about since I started looking into gold. I just moved about $150k into a Gold IRA with Augusta Precious Metals last month, and I'm watching the spot price like a hawk. If the market suddenly went parabolic, would Augusta or any other dealer I'm looking at for smaller additions just automatically hike their premiums to match, or is there usually a lag? I'm trying to figure out the best timing for my next buy.

    13
    andrew_roberts👑Elite (1m-5m)Real Investor✓ Verifiedabout 1 month ago

    It's an interesting question, and I've seen exactly what you're talking about with premiums during those wild swings. My experience, especially back in March 2020, was that while spot was climbing, the actual metals were incredibly hard to get. I remember trying to pick up some Eagles for my IRA custodian and even with a decent-sized order, the delivery times were insane, and the premiums reflected that scarcity more than pure dealer greed, in my opinion. It's a supply-and-demand crunch when everyone's piling in, not just dealers rubbing their hands together.

    0
    matthew_murphy👑Elite (1m-5m)Real Investorabout 1 month ago

    Interesting take, but I've always found 'dealers getting rich' to be a bit of a myth during those spot price surges. My experience, especially during the 2020 run-up, was that premiums absolutely exploded, which just priced out a lot of the demand at the retail level. What looked like a gold rush for dealers felt more like chasing a quickly moving target from my end in Dublin.

    1
    helen_turner💰Established (100-250k)Real Investorabout 1 month ago

    Man, you hit on something that still kinda grinds my gears. Back in '08, when the bottom fell out of everything BUT gold, I was sitting on some old 401k funds from a job I left years prior. Just needed a nudge to get it into something stable. The **spot price** was climbing daily, and I thought I was being smart pulling the trigger with some local dealer here in Louisville. They quoted me a premium that, looking back, felt like they were actively carving out their new yacht payment from my retirement. I was so green, so desperate for *any* safe harbor. I got in, thankfully, but sometimes I still think about how much more I could have gotten if I'd been shrewder with the dealer. Lesson learned, but yeah, they definitely got rich off folks like me back then.

    9
    patricia_miller📊Growing (50-100k)✓ Verifiedabout 1 month ago

    This *is* a good question, and honestly, a topic I've wrestled with since setting up my Gold IRA. Everyone focuses on the spread when they buy, but the real mystery for me is the spread when you *sell*. When spot prices are flying, are our custodians and dealers suddenly offering us less competitive buyback prices because they know the demand is high and they can play hardball? I've never seen anyone deeply analyze that side of the equation.

    6
    laura_sanchez💰Established (100-250k)Real Investor✓ Verifiedabout 1 month ago

    @Catherine Bell Yeah, I felt that same sting of "here we go again, another cash grab." Had a terrible experience years ago with a local outfit trying to upsell me on some proof coins at a ridiculous premium. But that IRA Calculator here on GIRAB actually saved me from making another bad call. It really helped me see past the hype and focus on the actual costs of what I was looking at for my rollover.

    4
    charles_lewis💎Premium (500k-1m)Real Investorabout 1 month ago

    @Michelle Collins, that's certainly a well-timed move on your part. Speaking of those timing windows, did your custodian offer any guidance or "preferred" metals when you rolled over? I'm curious if the inventory availability or specific premiums changed significantly right before that run-up, or if it remained fairly static across the board. Felt like some dealers were definitely pushing certain products.

    13
    christopher_young🌟Ultra (5m+)Real Investor✓ Verifiedabout 1 month ago

    @Andrew Roberts, you hit the nail on the head regarding those premium spikes, especially during Black Swan events. I remember March 2020 vividly from my place here in Scottsdale, watching the market from my veranda. The typical 5-7% premium on American Gold Eagles I was used to seeing absolutely went parabolic. Dealers definitely weren't hurting, but the smart ones were already sitting on inventory. It's why I always tell folks, if you're serious about physical gold in your IRA, you've got to buy it when things are calm, not when the world's on fire. That's actually why I poked around the *Best Gold IRA Companies* tool at goldirablueprint.com/best-gold-ira-companies/ a while back; found some companies with solid inventory management that helped avoid some of those worst premium gouges.

    13
    donna_rogers🏆Advanced (250-500k)Real Investorabout 1 month ago

    @Laura Sanchez That's exactly what I'm worried about as I dip my toes into this, coming from Lexington, KY. I've got around $300k I'm looking to move, and the last thing I need is some sales snake trying to push me highly marked-up 'collectible' coins instead of just good old physical gold for my IRA. It's tough to know who to trust when everyone has an angle.

    7
    kenneth_parker💎Premium (500k-1m)Real Investor✓ Verifiedabout 1 month ago

    I've always been skeptical about how much dealers mark up during these price swings. My first Gold IRA rollover back in '08, right when things were getting wild, felt like I was flying blind. This time around, with my second rollover (sitting on about $750k in assets now), I found a pretty handy tool. If you're near retirement, the RMD Calculator is super helpful for figuring out future distributions, which really puts the current market volatility into perspective for long-term planning. Definitely worth checking out.

    10
    william_davis💎Premium (500k-1m)Real Investorabout 1 month ago

    This is a solid point about the bid-ask spread widening when things get crazy. I’ve definitely noticed that on the physical side – my local coin shop in Dallas was quoting some wild premiums back in 2020. My question is, has anyone here seen actual data on whether these spreads return to normal quickly after a price surge, or if some dealers try to maintain them for a prolonged period, hoping investors don't notice once the initial frenzy dies down?

    1
    ruth_perez📊Growing (50-100k)about 1 month ago

    That brings back some memories, man. Back in 2020 when everything went sideways and gold shot up like a rocket. I'd just started dipping my toes in, moved about 40k from a dying mutual fund into a Gold IRA with Augusta. Felt like a total noob, honestly, just hoping for some stability amidst the chaos. I remember watching those spot prices climb daily and thinking, "Okay, this is it, I'm late to the party, the dealer is making a killing." But then I looked at my buy price, and my current valuation, and it was still a solid gain. Not quite *their* margin, maybe, but still *my* peace of mind. It really hit home that the dealer's business model isn't just about selling high, but also about the service, the storage, the whole shebang. They gotta eat too, right?

    16
    joshua_phillips🏆Advanced (250-500k)Real Investor✓ Verifiedabout 1 month ago

    This has been bugging me since I started looking into gold IRAs. I saw spot prices jump pretty high back in 2020, but then the premiums on actual coins and bars went astronomical. Does that mean the dealers are just raking it in on those spreads, or are their own costs going up too when demand spikes like that? I'm trying to wrap my head around the whole supply chain and how much margin is really built in.

    18
    frank_rivera💎Premium (500k-1m)Real Investorabout 1 month ago

    Alright, this topic hits close to home. I remember back in early 2020, before the global madness really kicked in, I was looking to add a few more American Gold Eagles to my Gold IRA. Spot price was hovering around $1500-$1600. I called my usual dealer – a smaller operation I've used for years. He quoted me a premium that, at the time, felt a little steep, maybe 4-5% over spot. I thought, "Eh, it's a long-term hold, whatever." Then, literally a month later, as the world locked down, spot shot up like a rocket, well over $1700, then $1800, and trying to buy Eagles was like finding a unicorn. That same dealer, bless his heart, told me his premiums had jumped to 8-10%, sometimes more if you wanted specific dates. He wasn't gouging; he genuinely couldn't get consistent supply from his wholesalers without paying crazy prices himself. So yeah, they definitely got richer on the inventory they already had, but the immediate sourcing was a nightmare for them too. It really highlighted how supply

    14
    janet_cook📊Growing (50-100k)about 1 month ago

    @William Davis You're absolutely right about the bid-ask spread, especially when things go sideways. I saw the same thing here in Providence during the early COVID panic. My regular guy was still fair, but the prices some places were quoting for even common **precious metals** were just insane. That's why I always tell folks looking into a **gold IRA** to have their dealer relationship established *before* the market goes wild. When I did my **401k rollover**, one of the biggest reasons I picked my current custodian was their transparency on pricing, even for smaller purchases to top off my **retirement savings**. It might not feel like a huge difference on a day-to-day basis, but those basis points add up quickly, especially when you factor in the **tax advantages**.

    8
    james_wilson👑Elite (1m-5m)Real Investor✓ Verifiedabout 1 month ago

    @Matthew Murphy I hear you on that, premiums were definitely wild in 2020. I’m based in NYC, and even finding some common fractional coins was a full-time job for a bit. What really helped me understand the dealer side of things, especially the physical supply chain and how premiums get baked in, was a deep dive I found on the World Gold Council's website. They have a whole section on market dynamics that broke down the entire process from refinery to retail, including the logistical bottlenecks that appeared during COVID. Made a lot of those premium hikes make more sense than just "dealers being greedy.

    13
    sharon_evans💰Established (100-250k)Real Investorabout 1 month ago

    Totally agree the dealer margins widen like crazy when spot prices jump. But honestly, I’ve started seeing that as *less* of a rip-off and *more* of a necessary premium for immediate liquidity. When the SHTF and everyone wants physical gold *now*, that extra percentage is what pays for the inventory, the overnight shipping, and the staff to handle the rush. I mean, good luck finding a better option for that kind of speed.

    18
    joyce_cooper📊Growing (50-100k)✓ Verifiedabout 1 month ago

    @Kenneth Parker It's a valid point, especially when you feel like you're reacting to market events instead of anticipating them. My first *major* silver purchase back in 2011, right before that big spike, I felt the same squeeze. When you're talking about those "wild" periods, do you think dealers are just passing on increased sourcing costs, or are they genuinely jacking up premiums disproportionately because they know the demand is red-hot and people will pay anything? Is there any way to tell the difference?

    8
    richard_garcia👑Elite (1m-5m)Real Investorabout 1 month ago

    @JasonMorgan - Spot price rockets and your portfolio *feels* small, yeah, I've heard that tune before. Back in '20, I was sitting on a fair chunk, north of a million at that point, mostly in physical and some within the IRA I'd diversified into. What always gets missed in these discussions is that the premium you're paying to the dealer isn't just their "getting rich" fee, it’s also their storage, insurance, logistics, and the capital they've got tied up in inventory. When demand explodes like it did then, those costs go up for them too, especially for *actual* physical product. They're taking a risk on availability to sell it to you. Trust me, I've seen it from both sides; there's a reason those premiums exist.

    1
    diane_bailey💰Established (100-250k)Real Investorabout 1 month ago

    Exactly! I remember back in 2020-2021 when things got really spicy. Spot was jumping but premiums felt like they were climbing even faster. My guy over in Savannah, who I’ve been using for years, actually admitted to me that they basically doubled their margins on certain 1oz gold coins during those peak panic weeks. He told me straight up, "Savannah, if you're not making hay when the sun shines, you're doing it wrong." They had the inventory, people were desperate, and the markups just followed suit. Supply and demand at its finest, or worst, depending on if you were buying or selling.

    14
    margaret_chen🏆Advanced (250-500k)Real Investorabout 1 month ago

    @Christopher Young, you're absolutely right about March 2020. I was watching it unfold from my apartment in SF, and the premiums on physical metal, even common bullion, were just insane. Seeing how quickly things can flip from a buyer's market to dealers practically naming their price really reinforced the "buy low" mantra for me. It’s why I always recommend people have at least some of their allocation bought when things are quiet, not when the world is burning.

    18
    barbara_white🏆Advanced (250-500k)Real Investor✓ Verifiedabout 1 month ago

    Yeah, I’ve been burned by that before. Had a small amount of junk silver I wanted to offload back in '08 when things went wild, and the local coin shop offered me pennies on the dollar. Tried another one across town and it was only marginally better. Honestly, I was pretty skeptical about finding anything decent online after that, but the data on GIRAB about dealer spreads actually made me feel a lot more prepared this time around. Saved me from another rip-off when I added more to my IRA last year.

    15
    elizabeth_johnson💰Established (100-250k)Real Investor✓ Verifiedabout 1 month ago

    @Charles Lewis, that's a good question about custodian guidance. My experience was actually the opposite of what you might expect. I had a bad run-in with a precious metal dealer in Atlanta a few years back – felt like they were *definitely* trying to push certain coins on me that had insane premiums. When I finally decided to roll over part of my old 401k into a Gold IRA, I was pretty wary. Honestly, I didn't expect much from another online forum, but some of the tools and company comparisons available here on GIRAB really helped me understand what questions to ask. My custodian actually let me drive the bus on metal choices, which was a huge relief after my previous experience. I ended up splitting it pretty evenly between American Gold Eagles and some Canadian Gold Maple Leafs, avoiding anything with high numismatic value.

    10
    robert_thompson💰Established (100-250k)Real Investor✓ Verifiedabout 1 month ago

    @Joshua Phillips That’s a sharp observation, and it's something I’ve wrestled with since setting up my Gold IRA here in Phoenix back in 2019. From my perspective, when spot prices explode, dealers *do* get richer, but it's not always in the way people assume. It’s not just about bumping up premiums. Think about 2020: demand for physical ounces went through the roof, especially for smaller denominations. Supply chains were constricted, mints couldn’t keep up, and shipping became a nightmare. Dealers could justify higher premiums then because *they* were the ones securing the limited physical metal. They were taking on more risk and logistical headaches to get those ounces into vaults. What do you think, was that a dealer exploiting the situation or simply supply-and-demand at play during unprecedented times?

    8
    linda_taylor📊Growing (50-100k)✓ Verifiedabout 1 month ago

    Honestly, when spot prices jump like they did last year, I think it's more complicated than just dealers getting "rich." My custodian, for example, has *fixed* commission rates, so while the total dollar amount might be higher because the metal itself is more expensive, their percentage cut doesn't actually change. I'm in Seattle, and when gold hit that record high, I was looking to add a few more Eagles, and the premium over spot from several dealers I checked felt pretty consistent with what I'd seen before, just on a higher base price. It strikes me as more about volume and managing inventory during wild swings.

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